CNX-NIFTY
Open—25888.70---High—25922.25---Low---25780.90--Close---25867.30 on 9.2.2026
Support:25842.95/25740.80/25726.80/25718.20/25693.25/25669.35/25548.70/25473.40/25318.45/25153.65/25079.80/25008.20/24919.90/24918.65/24882.30/24857.75/24854.80/24792.30/24753.15/24694.35/24587.70/24537.60/24502.15/24498.20/24494.45/24473/24462.40/24404.70/24337.50/24226.70/24198.75/24141.80/24099.70/24094.20/24073.90/23938.85/23935.75/23893.70/23873.35/23869.65/23847.45/23816.15/23807.30/23667.20/23664/23644.80/23637.65/23484.15/23537/23426.30/23391.65/23338.70/23263.15/23110.80/23049.95/23047.25/22976.85/22794.70/22786.90/22775.70/22768.40/22676.75/22625.30/22577.40/22546/22525.65/22502/22314.70/22303.80/22281/22165/22124.70/22104.85/21964.60/21875.25/21860.65/21821.05/21777.65/21710.20/21530.20/21448.65/21281.45/21137.20/21021.88/20976.80/20769.50/20291.50/20222.45/19991.85/19839/19333.60.
Resistance:25891/25057.60/26097.85/26104.20/26129.60/26173.30/26202.60/26236.40/26246.65/26277.35/26325.80/26340/26357/26374/26404/26458/26497/26567/26594/26650/26678/26694/26717/26816/26842/26995/27001/27095/27212/27293/27375/27510/27824.
OVERALL VIEW
ON THE DAILY CHART:
--
It opened with an up-gap and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a gain of 173.60 points. The gap it created on 9.2.2026 & 3.2.2026 is still there and if it makes an effort to fill this gap in next 4-5 & 1 days respectively which is technically possible then it can come down to 25703. 95 & 25108.10, but if it fails to fill the gap in the stipulated time then the chances of filling the gap will recede for the time being, but please note that one day it will surely fill the gap one day. it is also important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points on downside are 24164, 22923, 22468 & 22254- gap point on the upside25662.40) also on the downside/upside, which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility, this is not a good sign for a steady market.
The technical setup looks good for the continuation of the up-move but at this point of time it cannot be construed that it is out of woods, so watch out few trading sessions days for conviction and then review it again because, it is still into deep correction mode for its recent rise, which is concerning can still drag it down. But the good thing is that it is making higher top & bottom on the line chart, almost above all the averages, above few key points, above short term rising trend line and major long term rising trend line and almost all the important technical indicators are positive now, therefore it is likely to extend the up-move. However moving down if it holds the key support points of 25842.95----25740.80----25726.30---25718.40---25693.25----25601------25510----25336----25318.45---25239----25084---24996.89---24944.80----24857.75----24753.15---24744---24587---24404.70—24337---23935.75---23847.85 (some figures will change daily), on the closing basis then it may extend the up-move. Please note that it is already into deep correction mode, therefore ,break & sustained close below 25693.25 may push it into real and may be deep correction mode, break & sustained close below 25601 will threaten the long term uptrend, break & sustained close below25318.45 may trigger fresh fall , break & sustained close below 25084 Will potentially threaten the long term uptrend, break & sustained close below the range of 24996.89---24944.80 may dampen the chances of up-move, break & sustained close below 24744 can drag it down to 24337 levels and finally break and sustained close below it can drag it down to much lower levels.
Moving up the key resistance points could be at 25891—--25892.77------25917----25951.82----26013----26051.13---------26104.20----26124.28---26129.60----26173.30---26212.73----26223.88---26246.65----26256.33----26277.35—26325.80---26373.20 (some figures may change daily or at some point of time) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move again or may halt the up-move for a while. Please note that it is into deep corrective mode, but moving up it will broad resistance at 25917---25948----26013 it may correct at any of these points and may resume the up-move again or may halt it for a while, but if it moves above 26013 and sustain on the closing basis then it is likely that it could retest its all-time high of 26373.20 or may go beyond it. But it is important to note that to keep the hope of continued up move alive in the year—2026 it has to move above 26129.60----26173.30 and sustain on the closing basis and to get back into strong up-momentum track in the year—2026 it has to moves above 26325.80 and sustain on the closing basis, else it may start to drift down again. It is in the long term uptrend, but still into deep correction mode.
IMPORTANT
NOTE: - THE IMPORTANT
POINTS FOR THE YEAR--2026 ARE 26129.60---26173.30---26325.80 AND TO KEEP THE HOPE ALIVE FOR A CONTINUED
UP-MOVE IT HAS TO SUSTAIN ABOVE 26129.60---26173.30 AND TO GET INTO STRONG UP MOMENTUM IT HAS TO MOVE ABOVE 26325.80 AND SUSTAIN ON THE CLOSING BASIS THROUGH-OUT THE YEAR , ELSE
IT MAY START TO DRIFT DOWN.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT ON THE CHART;-
POSITIVE POINTS:-
1. Almost all the
important indicators such as EV, MACD, PS, VM & ADX is in the buy mode and
RSI is neutral now, so it may witness up rally at times and may last too.
2. It is above all of its short term moving averages on the daily,
weekly & monthly chart.
3. It is above almost
all of its medium-term moving averages on the daily chart, above all on the weekly
& monthly chart.
4. It is above all
its long terms moving average on the daily chart and the top average is placed
at 25601(figure will change daily) for the day.
NEGATIVE POINTS:-
1. It is in neutral/
overbought zone & ST is in the sell mode, so it may correct at times.
2. It is below only
one of its medium term moving average on the daily chart.
In view of the above observation there is a mixed
possibility and it can swing both ways but with a slight upward--bias as of
now. Furthermore
please also note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence
and in the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a concern,
therefore fall also cannot be ruled out in coming weeks & months. Please
keep an eye on the critical resistance & support points and price action
for further directional indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART:-
WEEKLY CHART: - Few important indicators are such as MACD, EV & VM is in the sell mode, RSI is neutral, but it is in the oversold zone, so it may give relief rally at time but that may not last, so overall bias is down as of now.
MONTHLY CHART: -Few indicators are in buy mode such as PS & ADX, but key indicator such as MACD, ST, & VM are in the sell mode, it is in the overbought zone and with negative divergence in RSI. Therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with slight tilt towards down-side as of now; therefore, further fall in the coming months cannot be ruled out, so be watchful.
IT
IS BUY ON DECLINE MARKET NOW;-
It is still into deep correction mode but moved above some important key points, therefore now it will be buy on decline market now till it holds the range of 25693.25------25601 on the closing basis. But short trade can also be tried on sharp rise and near critical resistance points or range, for intraday corrective gains.
STRENGTH:-
1. It is still above all of its most critical 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th & 5th make or break bottom of 25693.25---25318.45-----24587.70---24337.50 & 21743.65 sustained close above it will keep the hope alive of resuming the up-move again.
2. It is above all its short-term
moving averages now on the daily chart and the important average range for day
is 25577---25566----25560--25470—25455---25453 (figure will change every day), sustained close above this range can help
it move-up further.
3. It is above its 1st downtrend line, which is placed at 25152(figure will change daily) for the day, it is a positive sign.
4. It is making higher top &
bottom on the line chart.
5. It is above its short term rising trend line, which is placed at 25160 (figure will change every day), it is a positive sign.
6. It is still into deep
correction mode now but bounced back above one correction threshold point of 25777.22 sustained close below it can help
it to extend the up-move.
7. It is above its major long-term
rising trend drawn from the bottom of 7511
made on 20.3.2020, which is placed
at 25831(figure will change
and inch up every day) for the day, sustained close above it may witness good up-move.
8. The price
action was positive today.
WEAKNESS: -.
1. Volatility and wild swing can
be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market
condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming
days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
2. To get back into strong up-momentum track
it has to move above 26277.35
& 26325.80 and sustain on the closing basis, else it
may drift down.
3. It is still into deep
correction mode now as it is below almost all its threshold point of 26256.33----26220.53----26212.73----26124.28---26051.13---25951.82----25908.63---25892.77--- sustained close below these
points can drag it down further.
4. It is below its 2nd downtrend line, which is placed at 26065(figure will change daily) for the day, it is a negative sign.
5. It is below its major
long-term rising trend line which is placed at 25922 for the month of February-2026; sustained close below it may witness an accelerated fall.
TRADING CALL: --
1. Long trade
can be tried on decline near or within the range of 25832----25780 if it
holds this range for some time then with a stop loss of 25680 for a possible intraday gain,
else avoid. Please
note that long trade in a corrective market could be a risky affair, but can be
tried near critical support points for intraday gains.
2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 25975---26010
with a stop loss of 26080 or can sell If it moves below 25640
and maintain for some time, then with a stop loss of 25720. It
could be a risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at
all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the
above view.
Kindly note that make your cost your
stop loss in favorable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated here are of spot
market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
Email--- suranank@gmail.com
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