CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open—60821.15---High—61241.60--Low—60560---Close—61141.80
on 17.2.2026.
Support:/61099/60980/60473.20/60235.15/60114.30/60060.70/59806.60/59674.80/59581.85/58925.70/58864.20/58799.90/58737.60/58712.70/58649.50/58121.60/58050/57783.20/57628.40/57594.25/57482.05/57157.85/57049.50/56623.60/56594.25/56204.85/56098.70/55821/55475.45/55149.30/54905.60/54576.60/54467.35/54226.60/54176.45/53888.30/53561,75/53483.05/53357.70.
Resistance:61232/61342/61764.85/61998/62078/62251/62382/62427/63091.
OVERALL, VIEW: --
It opened on a negative note and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a gain of 192.70 points. But it is also important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points are 58687.05,56922.70, 55616.45,51361, 51244 & 50496), which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility and it is not a good sign for a steady market.
The technical setup is back on the track and it looks good for the continuation of the up-move, it is out of correction mode, crossed recent top on the line chart, above all the moving average on the daily chart, above short & long term rising trend line, above downtrend line and above almost all the key levels and almost all the important technical indicators are positive on the daily chart, therefore it is likely to continue the up move, provided, moving down if it manages to hold the key support points of 61099---60955—60824.83---60677.22----60473.20---60235.15---60144.94---- 60114.30-----60060.70----59985.44-----59870----59828.54---59809.96---59674.80----59667------59581.85-------58925.70---58799.90-----58789---58712.70----58649.50----58445---58313----58062.34---57783.20----57673.21---57157.85 ---56773(some figures may change) on the closing basis then the chances of a continued up-move will be alive. But break & sustained close below 60824.83---60677.22 will push it again into corrective mode , break & sustained close below 60473.20 will be an alert sign for going down further, break & sustained close below 60144.94 & 60114.30 may dampen the chances of a continued up-move in the year-2026, break & sustained close below the range of 59985.44-----59870----59828.54---59809.96 will make the correction deeper and may trigger fresh fall, break & sustained close below the range of 59674.80------59581.85 will be a potential signal that it may not continue with an up-move in the year—2026 , break & sustained close below the range of 58789---58712.70----58649.50----58445 will push it into deep correction mode and can drag it down further, break & sustained close below 58313 will threaten the long term uptrend and break & sustained close below 57783.20 & 57157.85 may witness an accelerated fall and then the correction could be more painful time-wise and price-wise both and finally break & sustained close below 56773 will potentially threaten the long term uptrend, which may please be noted.
Moving up the target or resistance points could be at 61265—61341---61764.85(some
figures may change) (for complete resistance points see
the table on the upside) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move
again or may halt the up-move for a while. But if it moves above 61341and sustain on the closing basis then it may retest its
all-time high of 61764.85 or may
go beyond it also, else it may start to drift down again. It is in the strong
long-term uptrend.
IMPORTANT
NOTE:
- THE
IMPORTANT POINTS FOR THE YEAR--2026 ARE 59581.85---59674.80---60114.30 AND TO KEEP THE HOPE
ALIVE FOR A CONTINUED UP-MOVE IT HAS TO SUSTAIN ABOVE 59581.85---59674.80 AND TO GET INTO STRONG UP MOMENTUM IT HAS TO MOVE ABOVE 60114.30 AND SUSTAIN ON THE CLOSING BASIS THROUGH-OUT
THE YEAR , ELSE IT MAY START TO DRIFT DOWN.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS
AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT;-
POSITIVE
POINTS:-
1. It is above all of
its short term moving averages on the daily, weekly & monthly chart.
2. it is above all of its medium term moving
averages on the daily, weekly& monthly chart.
3. It is
above all its long terms moving average on the daily chart and the top average
is placed at 58313(figure will change daily) for the day.
4. the
technical indicators, EV, MACD, PS, ST, VM &ADX is in the buy mode, so it
may rally at times and it may last too.
NEGATIVE
POINTS:-
1. It is in
the overbought zone and RSI with
negative divergence, so down move may happen
at times.
In view of the above observation there is a mixed possibility and it can swing
both ways as of now with an upward bias as of now. But please also note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative
divergence and in the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a
concern, therefore fall also cannot be ruled out in coming weeks & months.
Please keep an eye on the critical resistance & support points and price
action for further directional indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART: -
WEEKLY CHART: - Almost all the important indicators are negative now such as MACD,EV & VM are in the sell mode, RSI is with slight negative divergence and it is neutral/overbought zone, but PS & ADX is in the buy mode therefore in totality further fall also looks quite likely in coming weeks. But it may swing both ways with a downward bias as of now.
MONTHLY CHART:-Few indicators are in the buy mode such as MACD, ST, PS & ADX but it is in the overbought zone and with negative divergence in RSI and VM is in the sell mode, therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with a slight tilt towards down-side as of now.
IT IS BUY ON DECLINE MARKET NOW;-
It is still into correction mode but moved above important key points; therefore now it will be buy on decline market now till it holds 60473.20 & 60114.30 points on the closing basis. But short trade can also be tried on sharp rise and near critical resistance points or range, for intraday corrective gains.
STRENGTH: -
1. It is above
its most crucial 1st,2nd,
3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th,7th, make or break bottom
of 57783.20,57157.85--54226.60—53561.75---53483.05--49156.95
& 47702.90 if it
sustains above these points on the closing basis then the chances of the up-move
will be alive and great, else it may correct sharply.
2. It is out
of correction mode and above all its correction threshold points of ---60824.83 ----60677.22---59985.44---59828.74---59809.96---58789---58445.85---58062.34—57673.21(figure may change), sustained
close above this range may keep the hope alive for an extended up-move.
3. It is
above all of its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the
important average range for day is between 60684---60548--60507---60248---60156---59870(figure will change every day), sustained close above this range can help it to extend the up-move.
4. It is above its short
term rising trend line which is placed at 59204 (figure
will change every day) for the day. It is a positive sign.
5. It is above its major long-term rising trend line which is
placed at 58525 for
the month of February-2026, it is a good sign.
6. It is
above its recent down trend line which is placed at 59684(figure
will change every day) for the day.
7. Its major long term rising trend line drawn from the bottom of 16116
made in 2020 is placed at 58993 (figure
may change daily) for the day. It is above it now which is a positive sign.
8. It has
crossed its recent top on the line chart.
9. The price action was positive today.
WEAKNESS: -
1. Volatility and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which
is not a good sign for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it
down may be drastically in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
TRADING CALL: --
1.
Long trade can be tried on decline near or within the range of
60971---60877 if it holds this range
for some time then, with a stop loss of 60540
for intraday gain else avoid. Please note that long trade in a corrective market
could be a risky affair, but can be tried near critical support points for
intraday gains.
2. Short
trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 61550---61650 with
a stop loss of 61800 or
can sell if it moves below 60540 and
maintain for some time, then with a stop loss of 60750. It could be a risky trade but can be tried for
intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long
position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling
point and vice versa. Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade
should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit
margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any
case.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed
here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for
the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and
then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Email—suranank@gmail.com
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
No comments:
Post a Comment
Thank you for sharing your views.