CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open—59947.80---High—61011.30--Low—59861.10---Close—60949.10
on 16.2.2026.
Support:60473.20/60235.15/60114.30/60060.70/59806.60/59674.80/59581.85/58925.70/58864.20/58799.90/58737.60/58712.70/58649.50/58121.60/58050/57783.20/57628.40/57594.25/57482.05/57157.85/57049.50/56623.60/56594.25/56204.85/56098.70/55821/55475.45/55149.30/54905.60/54576.60/54467.35/54226.60/54176.45/53888.30/53561,75/53483.05/53357.70.
Resistance:60980/61099/61232/61342/61764.85/61998/62078/62251/62382/62427/63091.
OVERALL, VIEW: --
It opened on a negative note and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a robust gain of 762.45 points. But it is also important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points are 58687.05,56922.70, 55616.45,51361, 51244 & 50496), which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility and it is not a good sign for a steady market.
The technical setup is back on the track and it looks good for the continuation of the up-move, it is out of correction mode, crossed recent top on the line chart, above all the moving average on the daily chart, above short & long term rising trend line, above downtrend line and above almost all the key levels and almost all the important technical indicators are positive on the daily chart, therefore it is likely to continue the up move, provided, moving down if it manages to hold the key support points of 60824.83---60677.22----60473.20---60235.15---60144.94---- 60114.30-----60060.70----59985.44---59959----59828.54---59809.96---59783----59674.80----59667------59581.85-------58925.70---58799.90-----58789---58712.70----58649.50----58445---58275----58062.34---57783.20----57673.21---57157.85 ---56735(some figures may change) on the closing basis then the chances of a continued up-move will be alive. But break & sustained close below 60824.83---60677.22 will push it again into corrective mode , break & sustained close below 60473.20 will be an alert sign for going down further, break & sustained close below 60144.94 & 60114.30 may dampen the chances of a continued up-move in the year-2026, break & sustained close below the range of 59985.44-----59828.54---59809.96----59783 will make the correction deeper and may trigger fresh fall, break & sustained close below the range of 59674.80------59581.85 will be a potential signal that it may not continue with an up-move in the year—2026 , break & sustained close below the range of 58789---58712.70----58649.50----58445.85 will push it into deep correction mode and can drag it down further, break & sustained close below 58275 will threaten the long term uptrend and break & sustained close below 57783.20 & 57157.85 may witness an accelerated fall and then the correction could be more painful time-wise and price-wise both and finally break & sustained close below 56735 will potentially threaten the long term uptrend, which may please be noted.
Moving up the target or resistance points could be at 60955—61099---61265—61341---61764.85(some
figures may change) (for complete resistance points see
the table on the upside) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move
again or may halt the up-move for a while. But if it moves above 61341and sustain on the closing basis then it may retest its
all-time high of 61764.85 or may
go beyond it also. It is in the strong long-term uptrend.
IMPORTANT
NOTE:
- THE
IMPORTANT POINTS FOR THE YEAR--2026 ARE 59581.85---59674.80---60114.30 AND TO KEEP THE HOPE
ALIVE FOR A CONTINUED UP-MOVE IT HAS TO SUSTAIN ABOVE 59581.85---59674.80 AND TO GET INTO STRONG UP MOMENTUM IT HAS TO MOVE ABOVE 60114.30 AND SUSTAIN ON THE CLOSING BASIS THROUGH-OUT
THE YEAR , ELSE IT MAY START TO DRIFT DOWN.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS
AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT;-
POSITIVE
POINTS:-
1. It is above all of
its short term moving averages on the daily, weekly & monthly chart.
2. it is above all of its medium term moving
averages on the daily, weekly& monthly chart.
3. It is
above all its long terms moving average on the daily chart and the top average
is placed at 58275(figure will change daily) for the day.
4. the
technical indicators, EV, MACD, PS, VM &ADX is in the buy mode, so it may
rally at times and it may last too.
NEGATIVE
POINTS:-
1. It is in the
neutral/ overbought zone and RSI with
negative divergence and ST is in the sell mode, so down move may happen at times.
In view of the above observation there is a mixed possibility and it can swing
both ways as of now with an upward bias as of now. But please also note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative
divergence and in the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a
concern, therefore fall also cannot be ruled out in coming weeks & months.
Please keep an eye on the critical resistance & support points and price
action for further directional indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART: -
WEEKLY CHART: - Almost all the important indicators are negative now such as MACD,EV & VM are in the sell mode, RSI is with slight negative divergence and it is neutral/overbought zone, but PS & ADX is in the buy mode therefore in totality further fall also looks quite likely in coming weeks. But it may swing both ways with a downward bias as of now.
MONTHLY CHART:-Few indicators are in the buy mode such as MACD, ST, PS & ADX but it is in the overbought zone and with negative divergence in RSI and VM is in the sell mode, therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with a slight tilt towards down-side as of now.
IT IS BUY ON DECLINE MARKET NOW;-
It is still into correction mode but moved above important key points; therefore now it will be buy on decline market now till it holds 60114.30---59674.80----59581.85 points on the closing basis. But short trade can also be tried on sharp rise and near critical resistance points or range, for intraday corrective gains.
STRENGTH: -
1. It is above
its most crucial 1st,2nd,
3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th,7th, make or break bottom
of 57783.20,57157.85--54226.60—53561.75---53483.05--49156.95
& 47702.90 if it
sustains above these points on the closing basis then the chances of the
up-move will be alive and great, else it may correct sharply.
2. It is out
of correction mode and above all its correction threshold points of ---60824.83 ----60677.22---59985.44---59828.74---59809.96---58789---58445.85---58062.34—57673.21(figure may change),
sustained close above this range may keep the hope alive for an extended
up-move.
3. It is
above all of its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the
important average range for day is between 60556---60438--60366---60119---60053---59783(figure will change every day), sustained close above this range can help it to extend the up-move.
4. It is above its short
term rising trend line which is placed at 59173 (figure
will change every day) for the day. It is a positive sign.
5. It is above its major long-term rising trend line which is
placed at 58525 for
the month of February-2026, it is a good sign.
6. It is
above its recent down trend line which is placed at 59670(figure
will change every day) for the day.
7. Its major long term rising trend line drawn from the bottom of 16116
made in 2020 is placed at 58951 (figure
may change daily) for the day. It is above it now which is a positive sign.
8. It has
crossed its recent top on the line chart.
WEAKNESS: -
1. Volatility and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which
is not a good sign for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it
down may be drastically in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
2. The price action was mixed today.
TRADING CALL: --
1.
Long trade can be tried on decline near 60877 if it holds this point for some time then, with a stop loss
of 60650 for intraday gain else avoid. Please note that
long trade in a corrective market could be a risky affair, but can be tried near
critical support points for intraday gains.
2. Short
trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 61425---61525 with
a stop loss of 61650 or
can sell if it moves below 60650 and
maintain for some time, then with a stop loss of 60900. It could be a risky trade but can be tried for
intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long
position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the
selling point and vice versa. Since, it is showing volatility so any type of
trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit
margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any
case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and
then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Email—suranank@gmail.com
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
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