CNX-NIFTY
Closed at 6987.05 on 29-2-2016 (Open-7050.45/High-7094.60/Low-6825.80)
Support:-6960.65/ /6869/6825/6638.55/6432.70/6357.10/6338.50/6300/6275/6129.
Resistance:- 7021/7030/7118.85/7204.65/ 7241.50/ 7252.40/7295/7350.30/7422/7512.55/7539.50/ 7551.05/7563.55/7589.50/7600.45/7667/7678/7691.20/7714.15/7723.85/7840/7863/7938.45/7940/7946.35/
As expected it had huge volatility and wild swing
of more than 265 points intra- day today but it closed the day on a weak note
and with a loss of 42.70 points, volatility may still continue for some time.
Today it broke the double bottom of 6960 which is also the lower band of the
weekly range of 6960—7295 (see my post for 29-2-2016) but bounced back to close
just above it, furthermore it also broke the bottom of 6869 it made on
12-2-2016 on the bar chart intra-day which is a bad sign. Technically it is
already weak, but 6960 will act as a good support till it is taken out again.
It is still sell on the rise market now therefore
fresh short trade can be initiated if it goes below 6960 or on the rise but not
if it maintains above 7051 on 1-3-2016. The bias is on the downside now
therefore it is suggested to avoid long trade completely till it moves above
the bear market territory threshold point of 7295 and sustain. Moving down it will find support at
6960/6869/6825/6775/6722-6710/6685/6638.55/6510/6432.70/6357.10/6338.50 where
it could take a breather and bounce for a while as it did today from 6825 point
or may give a relief rally from any of these points for a day or two before
resuming down move again, so be alert and watchful. Please note that sustained
break below 6338.50 can drag it down to unbelievable lower levels.
For 1-3-2016 sell call can be tried
on the rise but not above 7051 with a stop loss of above 7100 or below 6960
with a stop loss of above 7031 for the entire week starting from 29-2-2016 for
a target of 6869/6825/6775/6720. Buying is ruled out for now.
Remark:-It is in long
term bear trend. Therefore it is suggested to try sell call as mentioned above and
avoid long trade completely as of now.
Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable
trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and
avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and
trailing stop loss points. DO
NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed
here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for
the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Note:
Price stated here is of spot market.
Contact me for
strategic guidance to enter and exit the trade.