Friday, 26 January 2024

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON PUNJAB NATIONAK BANK-29.1.2024

 

PUNJAB NATIONAK BANK

 

SECTOR: -- Banking (PSU).

FINANCIAL DATA 

                            F.Y-2022-23          JUNE-2023 Qtr          SEPT-2023 Qtr     DEC-2023 Qtr

Revenue: -         85144.11cr             25145.45cr              26354.92cr                 27287.81cr                             

Net Profit: -          2507.20cr                1255.41cr                1756.13cr                 2222.81cr

E.P.S:-                           2.28                          1.14                          1.59                        2.02   

N.P.M:-                        2.94%                      4.99%                      6.66%

Equity: - 2202.20 cr,Face Value:-2,Book Value:-85.76, Price/Book:-1.22,Dividend Yield:-0.62,Share Holding Pattern:- Promoters—73.15%  & Public---26.85%, Market Cap:-115065cr,TTM (E.P.S):-5.36(+149.33% yoy), TTM (PE):-19.50 Sector (PE):--13.27.

Data Source: - www.bseindia.com & www.moneycontol.com. 

All-Time High:--279.98 made on 9.11.2010.

All-Time Low: -- 7 made on 26.4.2002.

Recent Low:-28.05 made on 20.6.2022. 

Open-102.75--High-106--Low-100.65—Close-104.50 on 25.1.2024. 

Support:99.90/97.80/96.25/95.75/94.30/93.35/92.40/86.20/84.75/75.60. 

Resistance:106.75/112/116.45/118.80/123.20/128.20/131.85/136.40/144/150.40/153.15/169/174.80/180.55/183.10/197/199.95/207/213.60/218.20/220.15/229.25/231.45/240.40/247/257.80/265.50/279.98. 

(Bold and underlined figures are most important) 

The overall technical setup and indicators are looking good as of now for the continuation of the up move but it may take some time to get into strong up momentum. Please note that it is in the long term uptrend now. Its critical range now is between 97.70---95.75---86.15 and if it has the strength it should not break 97.70 in the down move on the closing basis, therefore as long as it holds this range the up move is likely to continue, but break below 97.70 & 95.75 will be an alert point and sustained break below 86.15 on the closing basis may end the possibility of an up move and may drag it down further, which please note. Similarly moving up its tough resistance points could be at 106.75----118---130 once it crosses these points and sustain then it is likely to have a smooth upside move and then the broad and important target or resistance points could be at 153.15---183.10---220.15---229.25 please note that it could correct at any of these points and may resume the up move again or may pause or exhaust the up move for a while, but if it moves above 229.25 and sustain on the closing basis then it could retest its all-time high price of 279.98 or may go beyond it also. 

In view of the above observation, for investors long trade can be tried on decline near or within the range of 97.70---95.75 but not below it with a short stop loss of 92.80, but the authentic stop loss would be 84.50 on the closing basis and can add further position if it moves above 106.75 and sustain on the closing basis with a stop loss of 102. Technically the stock has the potential of appreciating by 40—60% or more in 10- 15 months time provided it holds its critical range as mentioned above, it should be reviewed again once the said appreciation target in the stock is achieved. 

NOTE: - It is a technical assessment of the stock as of now, the technical interpretation changes with the price movement and time, therefore it has to be reviewed at regular intervals, furthermore  investors are advised to look into fundamental, financial details of the company because that too keeps on changing and last but not the least management perception for the future of the company before taking investment decision. It is important to mention here that eventually good fundamentals & financials will hold and push the price up of the stock.  

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view. 

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

No comments:

Post a Comment

Thank you for sharing your views.