Thursday, 21 July 2022

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR—22.7.2022

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—16523.55--High—16626.95—Low—16483.90---Close-16605.25 on 21.7.2022.

Support:16588/16565/16490/16472/16410.20/16376.05/16275.50/16203.25/16172.60/16162.55/16133.57/15991/15986.42/15962.25/15914/15895/15775/15735.75/15671.45/15632.72/15578.55/15566/15513.45/15511.05/15450.90/15431.75/15367.50/15183.40.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance:16627/16695/16701.55/16752.40/16793.85/16824.70---833---837/16888.70/16891.70/16894/17006--003.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It is exhibiting good strength and in last 5 days it has vertically moved up by almost 700 points intraday, please note that a vertical rise may have vertical fall, therefore if it corrects to some extent in a day or two and then resume the up move then it will be good for the continuation of the up move, else fear of sharp fall would always be there. Furthermore in next 3 days it could make an attempt to fill the gap also which it left on 20.7.2022 and if it does then it could come down to 16360. However as on now the up move is likely o continue with intermittent down correction as long as it holds 16417(figure changes every day) on the closing basis. Moving up it will face resistance at 16649—16695---16767---16794---16894---16995---17140---17298---17354.05---17387.15.

The overall short term technical setup looks good as of now, furthermore some important technical indicators are positive on the daily chart and most importantly it is making higher top and bottom on the line and bar chart, so the up move is likely to continue provided it holds the key points on the downside as mentioned in the above paragraph. Be alert in long trade if it moves below its important point of 16417 (it changes every day) and sustain on the closing basis. It is important to note here that this rally is a pullback rally and it is vertically moving up which is more concerning because it may end abruptly also, so since it already had a good run up one should be extremely cautious and vigilant in the long trade at this point of time.

In view of the above observation for safe traders it is suggested to avoid long trade for the day. But aggressive traders can try long trade if it maintains above 16627 for some time with a stop loss of 16570 or can try buy on decline near 16417 but not below it with a stop loss of 16350, please note that long trade below 16570 could be a risky trade for the day, so be watchful in the long trade. Although it is in short term uptrend now but short trade can also be attempted after a reasonable rise or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective gains. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 16750--16795 with a short stop loss of 16830 or sell if it stays below 16570 with a short stop loss of 16630. The short trade could be a risky bet but worth trying at this juncture. The short term bias is positive but medium and long term bias is still negative as of now.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

m for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

 

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