Wednesday, 20 July 2022

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR—21.7.2022

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—16562.80--High—16588—Low—16490.95---Close-16520.85 on 20.7.2022.

Support:16490/16472/16410.20/16376.05/16275.50/16203.25/16172.60/16162.55/16133.57/15991/15986.42/15962.25/15914/15895/15775/15735.75/15671.45/15632.72/15578.55/15566/15513.45/15511.05/15450.90/15431.75/15367.50/15183.40.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance:16565/16588/16695/16701.55/16752.40/16793.85/16824.70---833---837/16888.70/16891.70/16894/17006--003.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It opened with a huge up gap and closed with a gain of 180.30 points. It decisively crossed its important point of 16415(figure will change every day) which is a good sign and as long as it hold this level up move is likely to continue with intermittent down correction, sustained break below this mark will put the on-going uptrend in jeopardy. Moving up it will face resistance at 16565---16588---16649—16695---16767---16794---16894---16995---17140---17298---17354.05---17387.15. It is important to mention here that technically it can fill the gap in next 3-4 day and if it does makes an effort to fill the gap it can come down to 16360 levels, furthermore in last 4 trading session it closed near the high of the day for 3 days but today it closed near the low of the day, therefore it indicates that it could correct tomorrow, which may please be noted.

The overall short term technical setup looks good as of now, furthermore some important technical indicators are positive on the daily chart and most importantly it is making higher top and bottom on the line and bar chart, so the up move is likely to continue provided it holds the key points on the downside as mentioned in the above paragraph. Be alert in long trade if it moves below its important point of 16415 (it changes every day) and sustain on the closing basis. It is important to note here that this rally is a pullback rally and it may end abruptly also, so since it already had a good run up one should be extremely cautious and vigilant in the long trade at this point of time.

In view of the above observation for safe traders it is suggested to avoid long trade for the day. But aggressive traders can try long trade if it maintains above 16521 for some time with a stop loss of 16470 or can try buy on decline near 16415 but not below it with a stop loss of 16350, please note that long trade below 16470 and below 16415 for sure could be a risky trade for the day. The up move is on and it is buying on decline market but today’s price movement suggests that it could correct tomorrow, so be watchful in long trade. Although it is in short term uptrend now but short trade can also be attempted after a reasonable rise or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective gains. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 16590--16620 with a short stop loss of 16660 or sell below 16470 with a short stop loss of 16540 and add position if it breaks and sustain below 16415 with a stop loss of 16480. The short trade could be a risky bet but worth trying at this point of time. The short term bias is positive but medium and long term bias is still bearish as of now.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

m for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

 

No comments:

Post a Comment

Thank you for sharing your views.