Monday, 11 July 2022

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR—12.7.2022

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—16136.15--High—16248.55—Low—16115.50---Close-16216 on 11.7.2022.

Support:16203.25/16172.60/16162.55/16133.57/15991//15986.42/15962.25—914---903---895/15775/15735.75/15671.45/15632.72/15578.55/15566/15513.45/15511.05/15450.90/15431.75/15367.50/15183.40.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance:16275.50/16376.05/16410.20/16472/16490//16565/16695/16701.55/16752.40/16793.85/16824.70---833---837/16888.70/16891.70/16894/17006--003.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It opened weak on a note and ended the day with a meager loss of 4.59 points. It is still positive on the daily chart on all important parameters as of now, so up move may continue. It is important to mention here that in all probability it is a pullback rally and you are well aware that these rallies can end abruptly as it happened in the past also, so although up move is indicating strength and short term bias is up now, but one should be extremely alert and vigilant in the long trade at this juncture.

Moving up it will face stiff resistance at 16276---16376---16414---16440---16472---16490---16662---16793.55---16894 and this rally may end at any of these points or earlier also, but if it moves above 16440(this figure change may every day) and sustain on the closing basis then, it may show meaningful strength and the rally can extend further. Similarly moving down break below 16095.89(figure will move up if it crosses it recent high of 16275.50) on the closing basis can push it into very short term corrective mode and sustained break below the range of 16017---15991---15986.42 on the closing basis may end the rally for good and down move will start. But bounce back above this range may resume the up move again, which may please be noted.

In view of the above observation, long trade can be tried if it moves above 16276 and maintains for some with a stop loss of 16170 or on decline  near 16100 and then near or within the range of 16017---15991---15986.42 but not below this range with a stop loss of 16050 & 15940 respectively. The highly aggressive traders can also try long trade if it moves and maintains above 16250 for some time with a stop loss of 16200.  It is suggested to be extremely cautious and watchful in long trade at this point of time because with every rise chances of rally fizzle out is also becoming greater till it moves above the critical points mentioned above. Short trade can also be attempted on the rise near or within the range of 16250---16276 with a stop loss of 16340 or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective gains. The short term trend is positive as of now, but the medium and long term trend is still in danger.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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