Saturday, 24 April 2021

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR-26.4.2021

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—14326.30--High—14461.15—Low—14273.20---Close-14341.35 on 23.4.2021.

Support:14264.40/14248/14222.80/14151.40/14024.85/13996.11/13981.75/13777.50/13596.75/13399.30/13145.85/13131.45.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance:14350.10/14459.50/14467.75/14484.12/14653.35/14753.55/14883.20/14984.15/15051.60/15176.50/15257.10/15273.15/15336.30/15431.75/15471.                                                                                                                

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

After decent recovery on 22.4.2021 , today it ended the day  with a meager loss of 64.80 points. It is still into deep short term correction mode  and below major rising trend line therefore the overall technical setup is weak but some very short term technical parameters and  technical indicators are pointing that it may give some rise from here,before it resume down move again,which may please be noted. Its most critical points for the year 2021 are 14024.85---13996.11 & 13981.75 and it is way above these points now and as long as it holds these points on the closing basis uptrend will remain intact. Its other key points are at 15131.35---14998.70---14888.80---14336.34---13562.48---12430.50(except for 12430.50 other figures can change). It is way below its first 3 key point’s of15131.35---14998.70 &14888.80 for the last so many days, therefore it is already into deep short term correction mode and it seems that it will last long. Please note that sustained break below 14336.34 on the closing basis can push it into  medium term correction mode which can last even longer and most importantly sustained break below 13562.48 on the closing basis can push it into long term correction mode and will potentially threaten the uptrend and finally sustained break below 12430.50 on the closing basis will further dampen the uptrend for sure, which may please be noted.

It continues to be in deep short term correction mode for quite some time now. Please note that its overall technical setup still looks weak, but some very short term technical parameters and  technical indicators are showing little sign of improvement , so a rise form here cannot be ruled out before it resume the down move again, provided it holds its two tier critical support range of 14264---14222.80---14151.40 and then 14024---13981.75---13897 , please note that sustained break below the above mentioned range on the closing basis could trigger an accellerated fall. Similarly moving up its very critical resistance range  would be between 14454---14537---14589---14640---14698---14888.80---14943---, if it moves and closes above 14454 then it could give moderate to reasonable up move and if it moves and sustain above 14589 on the closing basis then it could extend the up move further, which may please be noted. Please note that if it remains below  the above mentioned support range on the closing basis then it is very likely to hit 13700---13600 levels or much below it on the downside in coming days,as of now it is likely to happen.

In view of the above observation, it is  into  deep short term correction mode, but some short term tercnical parameters and indicatorts are showing sign of little improvement, therefore long trade can be tried on decline at appropriate points or near but not below14151 and then within the range of 14024—13897 but not below it or buy if it moves and sustain above 14454 for some time.  Please note that long trade in deep short term corrective mode could be a very risky proposition, particulary buying on decline, but since there is some chance of an up from here at this point of time ,so one can try. Since it is into deep corrective mode and broken major rising trend line therefore it is suggested to try sell trade on the reasonable rise  or sell on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the down move till clarity on correction completion emerges.

 NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY(Suggested)

1. Buy on decline at appropriate points  or near 14151 but not below it with a stop loss of 14130. It could be a higly risky trade.  

Or

Buy on decline  within the range of 14024---13897  but not below it with a stop loss of 13870. It could be a higly risky trade.  

Or

Buy if it moves and sustain above 14454 for some time with a stop loss of 14415. It could be a risky trade.   

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 14480---14550 with a stop loss of 14600. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain in weak market.

Or

Sell if it maintains below 14151 for some time with a stop loss of 14200. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain in weak market.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

 Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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