Monday, 2 October 2017

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--BANK NIFTY---3-10-2017


CNX--BANK NIFTY

Open-24114--High-24227.45--Low-24004.80—Close-24053 on
 29-9-2017

MajorSupport:-23963.74/23897/23852/23822.20/23708.65/23611.10/23311.85/23029/22996/22978/22578.

MajorResistance:24103/24151—156/24455/24494.35/24496.20/24591.80/24651.05.

For-29-9-17 the intra-day short support and resistance levels are given here-under:-

Support:-23963.74/23852/23822/23708/23650—611/23580/23341/24216.

Resistance: 24055—78//24103/24151—156/24228/24389/24422--55.

After making major lower top at 25105.35 on 18.9.2017 it started correcting and in 8 trading session it lost close to 1500 points. But on 28.9.2017 after hitting a low of 23611.10 it recovered sharply to close at 24008.15 which indicates that after the huge impulse fall of 8 days it has made a short bottom at 23611.10 and may move up further before it witness further fall. On 29.9.2017 it opened with an up gap and further went up but late in the afternoon it wiped out all the major gain and closed with a moderate gain of 44.84 points. The movement for day indicated weakness. Furthermore it is also below its short and medium term moving averages   and other technical indicator such as RSI and MACD are also badly poised therefore the overall technical setup is weak as of now and indicate further fall may be ahead in coming days/weeks. But since it seems that a short bottom at 23611.10 is in place therefore it may move sideways or up from here for a while before it starts down journey again. Moving up it will face resistance at 24182/24227/24388/24422—55/24496--535.

The key points are 23963.74(fix point)/24055 &24227(it changes every day) so as long as it maintains above 23963.74 then it can be assumed that the pullback move may continue for a while, move and close above 24055 &24227(it changes every day) will indicate that the up move may strengthen but it will regain the strong up momentum only above 24550 which may be please be noted. The last two days positive close was a pullback move and may continue for some time if it behaves in the aforesaid manner else it may end anytime soon.

In view of the above observation long trade for taking advantage of the pullback move can be tried as long as it holds 23963.74 level but it would be relatively better to initiate long call if it sustains above 24055 for the day with a stop loss of below 23950 for a target of 24103—182/24227/24388. Similarly short trade can be attempted below 23950 with a stop loss of above 24055 for a target of 23852/23812/23708 or sell if it fails to cross 24227 then near it but not above it with a stop loss of above 24300. Please watch the market for sometime before initiating the trade.  

It is important to mention here that the ongoing up move after the impulse down move of 8 days just seems to be a pullback move and may end anytime until and unless it crosses 24502--24550 level and sustain above it; therefore long trade should be handled with extreme caution and care at this point of time.

Remark: - It seems that it has made short bottom at 23611.10, therefore it may stage a pullback rally from here before it resumes the down move again, so those who wish to take advantage of this rally may try long call as suggested above. But broadly it still seems a sell on the rise market as of now, so be alert and cautious in long trade.


 Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Note: Price stated here is of spot market.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
                                                                                     
Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit the trade.






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