Saturday, 14 October 2017

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--NIFTY---16-10-2017



 CNX-NIFTY

Open-10123.70—High-10191.90---Low—10120.10---Close—10167.45 on
13-10-2017

Major Support:10137.85/10080.67/10062.97/9992---9988/9970/9955-28/9870—50/9792---88/9740/9709.30/9700/9688/9687.55/9685.55.                                                                                                                    
 Major Resistance: 10178.95/10191.90/10210—230---260/ 10340---365/10578.                                                                                                                                                                                                                           
Critical Point:-9870 & 9970

For-16-10-17 the intra-day short support and resistance levels are given here-under:-

Support: -10137.85/10120/10080.67/10062.97.                                                                                                            
Resistance:10178.95/10191.90/10210---230---260.                                                                                                                                                                                                                               
Further to my last post on 3-10-2017 after making double bottom at 9687(previous bottom was at 9685) it was expected to move sideways or up, it moved up and hit a new all time high of 10191.90 which was not expected at that point of time. Although it hit a new high but RSI on the weekly and monthly chart are still showing huge negative divergence and MACD on the weekly chart is still in sell mode, so the indications does not seems good indicator-wise for the rise, furthermore the movement of 11-10-17 was also disturbing because after hitting a high of 10067.25 for the day it plunged down sharply to hit a low of 9955.80 in no time before closing the day at 9984.80,so it seems that the undercurrent is not that strong and this up move could deceive the trader at any point of time. But since the price pattern is strong, therefore till the price movement shows weakness the negative divergence may not come into play. So it may move up further from here and moving up it will face stiff resistance at 10178.95/10191.90/10210---230---260--295/10340—365/10578. Similarly moving down it will find good support at 10137.85 &10080.67 and break and sustained close below 10080.67 may signal end of the rally for the time being or for good and correction may creep in then which may be kept in back of your mind. Please note that the uptrend can only be threatened if it breaks and sustains on the closing basis below the range of 9709—9685. As of now the price pattern suggests long trade only but not to forget that huge resistance range is ahead, so be extremely cautious in your trade.

In view of the above observation long trade can be attempted only if it moves above 10191.90 and sustain for some time with a stop loss of below 10120, please note that 10178.85 & 10137.85 would be the alert point. Although price movement does not suggest a short trade now but since it has strong resistance range ahead in the region of 10210---230---260—295, so contrarian trader can try short call in the range of 10245—260 with a stop loss of above 10295. It could be a risky trade but worth trying. Please note that if market opens with an up gap then watch the market for sometime and let it settle down before initiating trade.

Remark: - It is in up momentum now and may rise further from here but long call should only be tried if it moves and sustain above 10191.90. But this up move could be deceptive so be alert in long trade.


Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here is of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.




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