Wednesday, 27 September 2017

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--NIFTY---28-9-2017


 CNX-NIFTY

Open-9920.60—High-9921.05---Low—9714.40---Close—9735.75 on 27-9-2017

Major Support: -9709.30/9700/9688/9685.55/9560.80/9448.75.                                                                                                                    
 Major Resistance: -9740.10/9784/9792/9850/9870/9925.75/9928.20/9947.80/9970/9988.40/10031/10048/10088.10/10114.85/10131.95/10137.85/10178.95.

Critical Point:-9870 & 9970.

For-28-9-17 the intra-day short support and resistance levels are given here-under:-

Support: -9709/9700/9688/9685.55/9634/9560.80.                                                                                                              

Resistance: 9784/9792/ 9812/ 9850/9874 .                                                                                                                                                                                                                    
It was expected to give a pullback and it did give and opened firmly with an up gap, but did not maintain at the upper level and not even lasted for 10 minutes and started going down and in the later part of the day it plunged down sharply and broke all its important support levels, which shows inherent weakness in it . Now it is very near to its key support range of 9709---9685(see my earlier post) and sustained break below 9685 could accelerate the fall. Furthermore it is also important to mention here that its long term moving averages are placed in the range  of 9634---9226(it changes every day) for 28-9-2017 and sustained break below 9634 will threaten the uptrend and sustained break below 9226 will possibly end the uptrend which may be kept in the back of the mind.

Kindly note that last four days move clearly indicates that it is an impulse down move and it may continue for some time; furthermore looking at the technical indicators such as RSI (negative divergence) & MACD (sell mode) (see my post of 25-9-2017) therefore there is a distinct possibility also that the long term uptrend may be in danger and it is likely to see much lower levels in coming days/ weeks. Today’s massive fall confirms that now it is clearly a sell on the rise market, however it may witness in between short up move from time to time but long call should be avoided for taking advantage of these up moves and long call should only be attempted when it gives visible indication of bottom formation.  

The range for the day would be 9874---9812----9792----9709----9685----9634. It is advised to avoid long call but contrarian trader if they wish to can try long call near last key support point range of 9709--- 9685 with a stop loss of below 9634; it could be a risky trade. Therefore it is suggested to adopt sell on the rise strategy and the possible good sell point for the day could be 9812 & 9840--50with a stop loss of above 9880 or sell below 9685 with a stop loss of above 9740. Please watch the market for sometime before initiating the trade.  

Remark: - The expected pullback happened but lasted just for less than 10 minutes and fizzled out. In view of the above observation long call should be avoided and sell on the rise at appropriate points or below key support point strategy should be followed till a good bottom is formed.


Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here is of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.




No comments:

Post a Comment

Thank you for sharing your views.