CNX-NIFTY
Open-22568.10—High—22653.75—Low—22465.10--Close-22530.70on
31.5.2024.
Support:22526.60/22348.05/22305.25/22297/22224.35/22126.80/21883/21875/21860/21821.05/21801.45/21777.65/21731.40/21727.75/21710.20.
Resistance:22554.68/22568.40/22678.85/22730/22775.70/22783.35/22794.70/22958/23039/23060/23092/23117/23167/23201/23282/23397/23444/23525/23768.
It opened on a positive note and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally after 5 days of straight fall it ended the day with a gain of 42.05 points. The gap it created on 29.5.2024 is still there and if it makes an effort to fill the gap in the next 1-2 days which is technically possible then it can come up to 22859, but if it fails to fill the gap in the stipulated time then the chances of filling the gap will recede for the time being but eventually it will fill the gap some day. It is into correction mode now as it is below its threshold point of 22806.42, it is also below its other most critical points of 22794.70 & 22775.75, furthermore it is also below almost all its short term moving averages on the daily chart and the range is between 22712---22638---22592---22564---22567---22526.60----22477,(figure will change daily) if it manages to hold the last point of 22477, then it can still bounce back but sustained break below this range could trigger an accelerated fall..
STRENGTH:-
1. It is in
the long term uptrend now. Break below 21827 will
threaten the long term uptrend.
2. It is well above its critical points of 21821.05---21801.45---21777.65---21731.40---21727.75 & 21710.20, which is must to keep the up momentum going in the year 2024.
3 Moving
down the possible good bounce back support point could be at 22526.6---22466---22407---22269----22126.80---22098----22079----21860----21821.05----21812----21777.65----21710.20(figures
may change), , it slipped into correction mode and went below other key
points also as mentioned below, which is a weak sign, already below the warning
sign pint of 22526.60, sustained break below 21812 will threaten
the long term uptrend and sustained break below 22079 can pull it down to 21821.05
& 21777.65 levels and finally
sustained break below these points could be an ultimate warning sign and can
drag it down to devastatingly lower levels in coming days and may make the
correction more painful time wise and value wise both, which may please be
noted. So 21821.05---21812 & 21777.65 is a very strong and may be the last
bounce back support points as of now or make or break point or benchmark points.
So be watchful.
4. Three out of five important technical
indicators are positive on the daily chart.
5. It has been making higher top and bottom on the line and bar chart recently.
6. Today it has just closed shade above its momentum threshold point of 22526.60.
WEAKNESS:-
1. It
slipped into correction mode today and it will get out of it once it moves
above 22806.42 and sustain on the closing basis and then it could get
back on the up momentum track again.
2. It is below
its recent most important key points of 22775.75 & 22794.70.
3. It is below almost all except one of its short term moving averages on the daily chart and the important range of averages is between 22712---22638---22592---22564---22567---22526.60----22477 (figures will change every day) for the day, sustained close below this range may witness an accelerated fall.
5. It is
below its pullback threshold point of 22580.75(figure may change), if it
moves above it and sustain on the closing basis then there will be a ray of
hope that it could continue the up move, else it may move down.
6. Some technical indicators are still weak on the daily/weekly and monthly charts and pointing that it could head down in the coming days, weeks and months, so be watchful.
7. Volatility can be seen in the
market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market condition and
it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming days/weeks and
months. So be watchful.
8. The price action has been mixed for the
last few days and today it was negative.
OVERALL VIEW:
-- It is into correction mode and way below its
critical point of 22794.70 & 22775.75, furthermore it is also below almost
all its short term moving averages on the daily chart and the range is between 22712---22638---22592---22564---22567---22526.60----22477 (figure will
change every day), which is huge weak sign and if
it fails to stage a sharp bounce back in next-2-3 trading sessions and
moves above this range then it can witness an accelerated fall. It is in the
long term uptrend but into correction mode now therefore both side trades can be
attempted depending on the price action. But please note that both side trades
amid volatility and in a corrective market could be a risky affair, so be alert
and watchful in your trades.
TRADING CALL: --
1. Long trade can be tried if it holds 22488 for some time with a stop loss of 22450, else avoid.
2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 22650---22680 with a stop loss of 22730 or can sell if it moves below 22450 with a stop loss of 22540. It could be a risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at
all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the
above view.
Kindly note that make your cost your
stop loss in favorable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated here are of spot
market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
Email--- suranank@gmail.com