A TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-NIFTY—21.8.2023

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open-19301.75--High—19329.75-Low-19253.60--Close-19310.15 on 18.8.2023.

Support:  19303.60/19300/19296.45/19253.60/19245/19234.40/18887.60.

Resistance: 19361.75/ 19465/19467.50/19482.75/19523.60/19563.10/19615.95/19645.50/19795.60/19867.55/19887.40/19991.85.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It opened with a down gap and moved in arrange and finally ended the on-going week on a dismal note near the lower band of the week with a loss of 55.10 points for the day. The short term technical setup and technical indicators are weak on the daily chart and it is already into correction mode, therefore likely to go down further in coming days, but moving down it has strong support in the range of 19303—253---245---234 it may bounce back from this range again as it did  couple of times recently including today and still holding the range it may hold  this range for a while but eventually likely to break this range and will slide further this is what important technical indicators are pointing as of now. Furthermore it is below its pullback threshold point of 19428(figure may change) and if it does not bounce back above it and sustain on the closing basis then the down move may continue. Please note that for the steady up movement it has to moves above 19483---19580 & 19646(figure may change) and sustain on the closing basis. The short term bias is down but the long term uptrend is still intact as of now.

Moving down from here its support points could be at 19310---19303.60—19300----19296.45---19253.60---19245----19234.40---18887.60--18575(figures may change), it may bounce back from any of these points and resume the up move again or may keep sliding down also. It is already into correction mode and break below each support point will weaken it further, break below the range of 19303.60---19234.40 will push it into deep and long term corrective mode and will trigger fresh fall, break below 18887.60 may accelerate the fall and finally break below 18607(figure will change every day) will threaten the long term uptrend which may please be noted. 

Moving up from here it may face resistance at 19346---19428---19450---19497---19536—19567----19623---19645.50---19710---19818---19844(figure may change), it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up move again or rally can fizzle out also. Please note that 19428(figure may change) is its pullback threshold point and if it move above it and sustain on the closing basis then there may be some hope of a relief rally, but it may resume the steady up move again if it closes above 19483---19580 & 19646(figure may change) and sustain.   

IMPORTANT NOTE:- Long trade below 19234.40 could be a risky bet for the day. Please note that as of now the technical Indicators are pointing towards moderate to sharp fall in coming days/weeks and it can possibly hit the range of 19000---18700 on the downside. Since it is in correction mode, therefore it is sell on the rise market for now, so it is suggested to avoid long trade for the time being, but can be tried at critical support points for pullback gains with strict stop losses.

TRADING TIPS:--

1. For safe traders it is suggested to avoid long trade till correction completion sign emerges or if it closes above 19483 or at least above 19428 and sustain. However, aggressive traders can try long trade on decline near or within the range of 19303---19250 but not below it with a stop loss of 19220 or if it moves above 19346 and maintain for some time with a short stop loss of 19300. Please note that long trade could be a risky bet in correction mode but worth trying at critical support range for pullback gains.

2. It is still in the long term uptrend therefore short trade in general could be a risky affair but as it is into correction mode now, therefore short trade should be attempted on the reasonable rise or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective gains. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 19430----19460 with a stop loss of 19510 or sell if it moves below 19253 &19234 with a stop loss of 19320.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

m for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.