Thursday, 29 April 2021

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR-30.4.2021

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—14979--High—15044.35—Low—14814.45---Close-14894.90 on 29.4.2021.

Support:14888.80/14883.20/14753.55/14653.35/14595/14484.12/14467.75/14459.50/14350.10/14264.40/14248/14222.80/14151.40/14024.85/13996.11/13981.75.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance:14984.15/15051.60/15176.50/15257.10/15273.15/15336.30/15431.75/15471. 

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It opened with a big up gap and went further up and hit an intraday high of 15044.35 but could not sustain at upper level and corrected sharply and hit a  low of 14814.45 for the day but recovered and closed with a gain of 30.35 points. Please note that it is still into  short term correction mode but it is improving on the technical chart as it is well above its short ,medium and long term averages and well above its long term rising trend-line and short down trend-line also, which is  hugely positive sign for the continuation of the up move. Its short term down trend-line and major rising trend-line is placed at 14700(this figure will decrease every day) & 14636(this figure will increase every day) respectively  and it will act as a strong support for it for the day and the other critical support would be at 14833.60. It is important to mention here that its major downtrend line is placed at 15180(this figure will decrease every day) for the day and the way it is exhibiting strength it is very much likely at this point of time that it may give an upside breakout  from this line in coming days and if it  does and sustain above  it then it may head for a big rise which may please be noted. It did showed huge volatility during the day but looking at the current technical setup further rise seems quite possible  from here as of now but intermittent down move can happen. I would like to give a word of caution here that is has been vertically rising for the last few days , furthermore if it fails to give an upside breakout from its major downtrend line in next few days, then it may witness a vertical or moderate fall  because weekly technical indicators are still indicating weakness. So be careful in the long trade at this juncture.

Critical Support points are at :--14833.60---14700---14636---14588---14454.

Critical Resistance points are at :--14943---15051---15130---15176---15180.

Kindly note that the on-going up move is a pullback rally and it may exhaust at any of these points  or earlier also but the way it is showing strength and if it continues like this for few days then it could resume the strong up momentum again provided it moves above 15176 and sustain on the closing basis . Please note that from here bias seems moderately positive as of now.

In view of the above observation  for safe traders long trade can be tried on decline  near 14833 but not below it  or  if it moves above 14915 and sustain above it for some time. However aggressive traders can try buy on decline at appropriate points  or near  14636 but not below it ,here please note that buying below 14700  could be a risky trade mind you. Since it is still into short term corrective mode  therefore short trade can also be tried on the reasonable rise  or can be tried on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the down move

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY(Suggested)

1. Buy on decline near 14833 but not below it with a stop loss of 14790. It is for safe  and aggressive traders both.   

Or

Buy if it moves above 14915 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 14870.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate points with self defined stop loss or near 14636 but not below it with a stop loss of 14590. It is for aggressive traders and could be a risky trade.   

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 15050---15110 with a stop loss of 15130. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Or

Sell if it maintains below 14790 for some time with a stop loss of 14840. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

 Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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