Monday, 7 September 2020

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR –8.9.2020

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—11359.60--High—11381.15—Low—11251.70---Close-11355.05, on 7.9.2020.

Support:11325.85/11303.65/11289.80/11111.45/11056/10882.                                                      

Resistance: 11378/11447/11460.35/11584.95/11633/11694.85/11736/11761/11794.25.

Critical Points moving down: 11325---11289.80---11248---11111.45---11056---10882.

Critical Points moving up: -11390--11447---11542---11633---11675—11761---11794.25.

(Bold and underlined figures are most important)

The view and observation expressed in my post for 7.9.2020 will be valid for 8.9.2020 trading session also. In addition please note that it has three critical points moving down at 11289.80---11269.52—11248, it did stage a recovery today from these levels, but how long it will sustain has to be seen, sustained break below 11248 may accelerate the fall. The technical indicators as of now suggest that it is very likely that it may break the level of 11248 in coming days. Last but not the least that it has to move above 11447 and sustain on the closing basis for the uptrend to resume. I once again repeat that the overall technical parameter as of now indicates that it is likely to drift down in coming days with intermittent short up moves as it staged today.

There has been some change in the trading strategy for the day.

It is imperative to mention here that the ongoing surge in the Indian as well in the rest of the world stock market for the last few months is not at all fundamentally backed but purely liquidity driven which is concerning. In light of this instead of caution it seems that there is an irrational exuberance in the stock market now which is even more concerning. Please take my word that at this juncture if investors and traders do not exercise extreme caution and alertness particularly in the long trade then they are surely going to be trapped in coming days. One cannot time the correction but it seems that it is around the corner.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY

1. Buy on decline near or within the range of 11030--10904 with a stop loss of 10850. It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 11410---11450 with a stop loss of 11500.

Or

Sell if it falls below 11333 and maintain below it for some time with a stop loss of 11380.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

 Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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