AN ELABORATE TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-NIFTY FOR-8.1.2026

 

CNX-NIFTY

Open—26143.10---High—26187.15---Low---26067.90--Close---26140.75 on 7.1.2026

Support:26129.60/26104.20/26097.85/25057.60/25891/25842.95/25740.80/25726.80/25718.20/25693.25/25669.35/25548.70/25448.50/25318.45/24255.30/25153.65/25079.80/25008.20/24918.65/24882.30/24857.75/24854.80/24792.30/24753.15/24694.35/24587.70/24537.60/24502.15/24498.20/24494.45/24473/24462.40/24404.70/24337.50/24226.70/24198.75/24141.80/24099.70/24094.20/24073.90/23938.85/23935.75/23893.70/23873.35/23869.65/23847.45/23816.15/23807.30/23667.20/23664/23644.80/23637.65/23484.15/23537/23426.30/23391.65/23338.70/23263.15/23110.80/23049.95/23047.25/22976.85/22794.70/22786.90/22775.70/22768.40/22676.75/22625.30/22577.40/22546/22525.65/22502/22314.70/22303.80/22281/22165/22124.70/22104.85/21964.60/21875.25/21860.65/21821.05/21777.65/21710.20/21530.20/21448.65/21281.45/21137.20/21021.88/20976.80/20769.50/20291.50/20222.45/19991.85/19839/19333.60.

Resistance:26173.30/26202.60/26236.40/26246.65/26277.35/26325.80/26340/26357/26374/26404/26458/26497/26567/26594/26650/26678/26694/26717/26816/26842/26995/27001/27095/27212/27293/27375/27510/27824.

OVERALL VIEW ON THE DAILY CHART: --

It opened on a negative note and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a loss of 37.95 points. It is also important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points on downside are 25365.15, 24164, 22923, 22468 & 22254) also on the downside/upside, which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility, this is not a good sign for a steady market.

The technical setup looks strong and showing good strength for the continuation of the up-move, but is slipped into correction mode and below short term rising trend line, which is slightly concerning and can drag it down. However moving down if it manages to holds its critical & key points of 26129.60---26124.28---26104.20----26051.13---26039---25951.82----25892.77---25891—--25878----25842.95 on the closing basis then the chances of the up-move will be alive. It is already into correction mode and makes it weaker on the breach of  each point, break & sustained close below 26129.60 will lose steam the for the up-move , break & sustained close below the range of  26124.28---26104.20----26051.13---26039---25951.82will weaken it further  and also dampen the chances of an up-move, break & sustained close below the range of 25892.77---25891—--25878----25842.95 will trigger fresh fall and push it into deep correction mode and can drag it down further. Moving down further it will find its next critical support points at 25740.80---25726.30---25718.40---25693.25---25669.35----25512---25318.45 (figures may change), it may bounce back from any of these points, but break & sustained close below the range of 25740.80---25726.30---25718.40---25693.25 may trigger down-slide, break & sustained close below the range of 25512-----25318.45 may make the correction more painful time-wise & price-wise both  and will threaten the long term uptrend as well.   

Moving up the key resistance points could be at 26158----26173.30---26212.73----26223.88---26246.65----26256.33----26277.35—26325.80---26373.20---26357---26374---26404---26458---26497---26567---26594---26650---26678----26694----26717---26816 (some figures may change daily or at some point of time) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move again or may halt the up-move for a while. Please note that if it moves above 26173.30 it will be a positive sign for moving up further, if it moves above the range of 26212.73----26223.88---26246.65----26256.33 and sustain on the closing basis then it will get out of correction mode and may resume the up-move and if it moves above 26277.35 & 26325.80 and sustain on the closing basis then it may get back into strong up-momentum track again, else it may drift down. It is in the strong long-term uptrend, but into short correction mode now.

INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER PATTERN VISIBLE:- If it is above its neckline of 26104.20 and  sustains above it on the closing basis then the maximum upside target could be in the range of 26800-26900 but the up-move can halt or retreat earlier also. Similarly sustained close below 26104.20 & then below 25718.20 will be a sign of pattern failure and then it will drift down further.

IMPORTANT NOTE: - THE IMPORTANT POINTS FOR THE YEAR--2026 ARE 26129.60---26173.30---26325.80 AND TO KEEP THE HOPE ALIVE FOR A CONTINUED UP-MOVE IT HAS TO SUSTAIN ABOVE 26129.60---26173.30 AND TO GET INTO STRONG UP MOMENTUM IT HAS TO MOVE ABOVE 26325.80 AND SUSTAIN ON THE CLOSING BASIS THROUGH-OUT THE YEAR , ELSE IT MAY START TO DRIFT DOWN.

TECHNICAL INDICATORS  AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT ON THE CHART;-

POSITIVE POINTS:-

1. Few important indicators such as PS, EV, MACD & ADX is in the buy mode, so it may rally up at times and may sustain also.

2. It is above all its long terms moving average on the daily chart and the top average is placed at 25512(figure will change daily) for the day.

3. It is above almost all its short term moving averages on the daily, above all on the weekly& monthly chart.

4. It is above all its medium-term moving averages on the daily, weekly & monthly chart.

NEGATIVE POINTS:-

1. Few important indicators such as ST & VM is in the sell mode and RSI with negative divergence and it is in overbought zone, so down move may happen at times.

2. It is below only one short term moving average on the daily chart.

In view of the above observation there is a mixed possibility and it can swing both ways but with a slight upward--bias as of now. Furthermore please also note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence and in the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a concern, therefore fall also cannot be ruled out in coming weeks & months. Please keep an eye on the critical resistance & support points and price action for further directional indication.

TECHNICAL INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART:-

WEEKLY CHART: - Few important technical indicators are positive MACD, EV, ST,ADX& PS is in the buy mode, VM is in the sell mode and RSI is with negative divergence and it is in the overbought zone, therefore it may witness corrective down move at times.

MONTHLY CHART: -Few indicators are in buy mode such as ST,PS & ADX, but key indicator such as MACD & VM  are in the sell mode, it is in the overbought zone and with negative divergence in RSI. Therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with slight tilt towards down-side as of now; therefore, further fall in the coming months cannot be ruled out, so be watchful.

IT IS BUY ON DECLINE  MARKET  NOW;-

It is completely out of correction mode, therefore it is buy on decline market now till it holds its critical point of 26129.60-- 26104.20 & 26039 on the closing basis.  But short trade can also be tried on sharp rise near critical resistance points or range with strict stop losses, for intraday corrective gains.

STRENGTH:-

1. It is above its major long-term rising trend line which is placed at 25591 for the month of January-2026; it could be an important & strong support point.

2. It is above its most critical first & second make or break bottom of 25693.25 & 25318.45 sustained close above it will keep the hope alive of resuming the up-move again.

3. It is above its major long-term rising trend drawn from the bottom of 7511 made on 20.3.2020, which is placed at 25533(figure will change and inch up every day) for the day.

4. It is into correction mode but still above few of its correction threshold points of 26124.28---26051.13---25951.82----25892.77 (figure may change), sustained close above these points can keep the hope alive for up-move.

5. It still has higher top & bottom on the line & bar chart.

6. It is above its 2nd downtrend line, which is placed at 26075(figure will change daily) for the day, it is a positive sign.

7. It is above its inverse head & shoulder neckline of 26104.20 and if it sustains above it on the closing basis then it can hit the range of 26800—26900.

8. It is above almost all(except for one) its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the important average range for day is 26158---26136----26123--26099—26081---26039 (figure will change every day), sustained close above this range can help it to extend the up-move.

WEAKNESS: -.

1. Volatility and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.

 2. To get back into strong up-momentum track it has to move above 26277.35 & 26325.80 and sustain on the closing basis, else it may drift down.

3. It slipped into short correction mode as it closed below its threshold point of 26256.33----26223.88---26220.53----26212.73 sustained close below this point can drag it down further.

4. The price action was negative today.

5. It is below its short term rising trend line which is placed at 26218 (figure will change daily) for the day, sustained close below this line is a weak sigh and can drag it down.

TRADING CALL: --

1. Long trade can be tried on decline near or within the range of 26129----26110 if it holds this range for some time then with a stop loss of 26040 for a possible intraday gain, else avoid. Please note that long trade in a corrective market could be a risky affair, but can be tried near critical support points for intraday gains.

2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 26230---26260 with a stop loss of 26330. It could be a risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

Email--- suranank@gmail.com