CNX-NIFTY
Open—26170.65---High—26236.40---Low---26123--Close---26142.10 on 24.12.2025
Support:26104.20/26097.85/25856.70/25740.80/25718.20/25669.35/25548.70/25448.35/25318.45/24255.30/25153.65/25079.80/25008.20/24918.65/24882.30/24857.75/24854.80/24792.30/24753.15/24694.35/24587.70/24537.60/24502.15/24498.20/24494.45/24473/24462.40/24404.70/24337.50/24226.70/24198.75/24141.80/24099.70/24094.20/24073.90/23938.85/23935.75/23893.70/23873.35/23869.65/23847.45/23816.15/23807.30/23667.20/23664/23644.80/23637.65/23484.15/23537/23426.30/23391.65/23338.70/23263.15/23110.80/23049.95/23047.25/22976.85/22794.70/22786.90/22775.70/22768.40/22676.75/22625.30/22577.40/22546/22525.65/22502/22314.70/22303.80/22281/22165/22124.70/22104.85/21964.60/21875.25/21860.65/21821.05/21777.65/21710.20/21530.20/21448.65/21281.45/21137.20/21021.88/20976.80/20769.50/20291.50/20222.45/19991.85/19839/19333.60.
Resistance:26246.65/26277.35/26310.45/26318/26335/26357/26365/26404/26448/26497/26549/26590/26650/26678/26694/26842/26995/27001/27095/27212/27293/27375/27510/27824.
OVERALL VIEW
ON THE DAILY CHART:
--
It opened on a flat to negative note and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a loss of 35.05 points. But please note that the gap it created on 22.12.2025 is still there and if it makes an effort to fill this gap in next 2-3 days which is technically possible then it can come down to 25993.35, but if it fails to fill the gap in the stipulated time then the chances of filling the gap will recede for the time being, but please note that one day it will surely fill the gap one day. It is also important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points on downside are 25365.15, 24164, 22923, 22468 & 22254) also on the downside/upside, which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility, this is not a good sign for a steady market.
The technical setup has improved a bit, but it is still into correction mode for its recent rise, and to top it all volatility is a deep concern for a steady market. But the good thing is that it made higher bottom & top on the line chart, above all the moving averages and above its recent critical points of 26104.20----26088.07---26030---26014.92----25992-----25960---25915.61-----25891—--25856.54---25842.95---- 25842.53 and if it sustain above these points on the closing basis then the chances of continuation of the up move will be alive, else it will resume the down move again. Break & sustained close below the range of 26104.20----26088.07---26030---26014.92----25992 will weaken it further, break & sustained close below the range of 25960---25915.61-----25891may trigger fresh fall, break & sustained close below the range of 25856.54---25842.95---- 25842.53 will dampen the chances of up-move for a while and will push it into deep correction mode and will drag it down further. Moving down further it will find its next critical support points at 25740.80---25718.40---25693.25---25669.35---25520-----25408----25318.45 (figures may change), it may bounce back from any of these points, but break & sustained close below the range of 25408-----25318.45 may make the correction more painful time-wise & price-wise both and will threaten the long term uptrend as well.
Moving up the key resistance points could be at 26187.74----26199.29---26202.95----26211.85----26246.65----26277.35—26310.45---26325.80---26328—26405---26492 (some figures may change daily or at some point of time) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move again or may halt the up-move for a while. Please note that if it moves above the range of 26187.74----26199.29---26202.95----26211.85 and sustain on the closing basis then, it will get out of corrective mode and may retest its all-time high of 26325.80 or may go beyond it also. It is in the strong long-term uptrend, but now into correction mode for its recent rise.
INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER PATTERN
VISIBLE:- If it is above its neckline of 26104.20
and sustains above it on the closing
basis then the maximum upside target could be in the range of 26800-26900 but
the up-move can halt or retreat earlier also. Similarly sustained close below
26104.20 & then below 25718.20 will be a sign of pattern failure and then
it will drift down further.
IMPORTANT
NOTE: - THE IMPORTANT POINTS FOR THE MONTH
OF DECEMBER-2025 ARE 26202.95----26310.45 & 26325.80 AND TO KEEP THE UP
MOMENTUM GOING IN THIS MONTH IT HAS TO SUSTAIN ABOVE THESE POINTS ON THE
CLOSING BASIS, ELSE IT MAY START TO DRIFT DOWN.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT ON THE CHART;-
POSITIVE POINTS:-
1. Few important
indicators such as ST,PS,MACD,EV & ADX are in the buy mode, so it may rally
up and may sustain also.
2. It is above all
its long terms moving average on the daily chart and the top average is placed
at 25408(figure will change daily) for the day.
3. It is above all its short term moving averages on the
daily, weekly& monthly chart.
4. It is above all
its medium-term moving averages on the daily, weekly & monthly chart.
NEGATIVE POINTS:-
1. Few important
indicators such as VM is in the sell mode and RSI with negative divergence, so
down move may happen at times but it may not last as of now.
In view of the above observation there is a mixed
possibility and it can swing both ways but with a slight upward-bias as of now.
Furthermore please
also note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence and in
the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a concern, therefore
fall also cannot be ruled out in coming weeks & months. Please keep an eye
on the critical resistance & support points and price action for further
directional indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART:-
WEEKLY CHART: - Few important technical indicators are positive MACD, EV, ADX& PS is in the buy mode, ST & VM is in the sell mode and RSI is with negative divergence and it is in the overbought zone, therefore it may witness corrective down move at times.
MONTHLY CHART: -Few indicators are in buy mode such as ST,PS & ADX, but key indicator such as MACD & VM are in the sell mode, it is in the overbought zone and with negative divergence in RSI. Therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with slight tilt towards down-side as of now; therefore, further fall in the coming months cannot be ruled out, so be watchful.
IT
IS BUY ON DECLINE MARKET NOW;-
It is
still into correction mode for its recent rise, but above its key point of 26104.20 therefore it is buy on decline
market now till it close below 26104.20
and sustain. But short trade can also be tried on the sharp rise near critical resistance points or range
with strict stop losses, for intraday corrective gains.
STRENGTH:-
1. It is above its major long-term
rising trend line which is placed at 25344 for the month of December-2025; it could be an important & strong support point.
2. It is above its most critical
points of 23637.65 &
23644.80, please note that it must stay above these points to keep up the up
momentum going in the year 2025, else
it will start to drift down.
3. It is above its most critical first & second make or break bottom of 25318.45 & 24587.70 sustained close above it will keep the hope alive of resuming the up-move again.
4. It is above its major long-term
rising trend drawn from the bottom of 7511
made on 26.3.2020, which is placed
at 25554(figure will change
and inch up every day) for the day.
5. It is above its short term downtrend line
which is placed at 25829(figure will
change daily)
for the day, sustained close above it may keep the hope alive for an up-move.
6. It is into correction mode but
still above few of its correction threshold points of ---26088.07---26014.92----25915.61----25856.54 (figure may change), sustained close above these points can
keep the hope alive for up-move.
7. It is above all its short-term
moving averages now on the daily chart and the important average range for day
is 26030---26015----25997--25993—25992 (figure will change every day), sustained close above this range can help
it to extend the up-move.
8. It is above its short term
rising trend line which is placed at 25965 (figure
will change daily)
for the day, sustained close above this line can help it in moving up further.
9. The price
action was positive today.
10. It has made higher top & bottom
on the line & bar chart.
11. It is above its 2nd downtrend line, which is placed at 26092(figure will change daily) for the day, it is a positive sign.
12. It is above its inverse head & shoulder neckline of 26104.20 and if it sustains above it on the closing basis then it can surge
ahead further.
WEAKNESS: -.
1. Volatility and wild swing can be
seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market
condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming
days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
2. Top
to top rising trend line placed at 26347(figure will change) for the day, break above this could be a highly
positive sign for the up-move.
3. It is still into correction mode
as it is below few of its correction threshold points of 26211.85
---26187.74 (figure may change), sustained close below these
points can pull it down.
TRADING CALL: --
1. Long trade
can be tried on decline near or within the range of 26125---26114 if it holds
this range for some time then with a stop loss of 26030 for a possible intraday gain,
else avoid. Please
note that long trade in a corrective market could be a risky affair, but can be
tried near critical support points for intraday gains.
2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 26230---26260
with a stop loss of 26340. It could be a risky trade but can be
tried for intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at
all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the
above view.
Kindly note that make your cost your
stop loss in favorable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated here are of spot
market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
Email--- suranank@gmail.com
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