Sunday, 18 September 2022

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-BANK NIFTY FOR—19.9.2022

 

CNX-BANK NIFTY

Open-40977.20-High-41162.50-Low-40502.05-Close-40776.80 on 16.9.2022.

Support:40685.95/40453/40288.90/40160.20/40043/39895/39546.50/39424.85/39301.25/ 39197/39117.15/38855.55/38765.55/38377.35/38426.65/38134/38112.75/37988.60/37708.75/37581.05/37471/37238/36993/36876.35/36718.80/36651.85/36497.35/36375.35/36332/36083.70/35985.25/35926/35810.90/35762/35585.20/35543.10/35511/35481.70. 

Resistance: 40881/41367.25/41829.60/41840.15/42696/44461/45525/45633.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It opened with a down gap but filled the gap during the day and finally ended the day with a loss of 432.40 points. After making new all-time high of 41840.15 on 15.9.2022 it has been falling for the last two days and has gotten into short term correction mode today, but the uptrend is still intact as long as it holds 39895 levels on the closing basis. But it will catch up strong up momentum again only once it crosses its double top of 41829.60 & 41840.15 and sustain on the closing basis, else it may drift down. Moving down from here it will find good support at 40724---40685.95----40453---40349---40205---40160.20---40046---39895----39760----39638---39586.44---39455 it is already into very short corrective mode  as it is below its threshold point of 41230.82 , it has further weakened as it has closed below 40920.62 , break below 39895 on the closing basis will be an extreme alert point and may put the uptrend in jeopardy and finally sustained break below the range of 39724----39694---39638---39586.44---39455 may trigger fresh fall with an accelerated pace. Please note that even after making double top it is still a buy on dip market till it holds 39895 levels on the closing basis.

The overall technical setup is still looking good despite 2 days fall. But it is into short corrective mode now and it may correct further from here. The good point here is that some important technical indicators are still positive except for one now on the daily chart, which is a positive sign. Kindly note that if, the price destruction continue then the other indicators can also turn weak and that would be a concerning thing. However, as long as it holds 39895 on the closing basis chances of regaining strong up momentum will always be there.

In view of the above observation, for safe traders long trade can only be tried if it moves above it double top of 41829.60 & 41840.15 and sustain else avoid. But aggressive traders can try long trade if it moves above 41231 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of  41050 or can be tried on decline near or within the range of 40440-----40280 with a stop loss of 40150. Although, it is in the long term uptrend but slipped into short corrective mode today, therefore short trade can also be tried after reasonable rise or on price breakdown for intraday corrective gain. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 41300--41450 with a stop loss of 41550 or sell if it moves below 40150 and then below 39895 with a stop loss of 40320 & 40050. It slipped into very short corrective mode today, so watch out for how this correction culminates, but the medium and the long term trend is up as of now.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

m for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

 

No comments:

Post a Comment

Thank you for sharing your views.