Tuesday, 17 August 2021

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR---18.8.2021

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—16545.25--High—16628.55—Low—16495.40---Close-16614.60 on 17.8.2021.

Support:16359.25/16240/16223/16180/16162.55/16074/16024/15962.25/15920/15915.65/15899.80/15885.75/15877/15835.55/15780/15673.95/15635.95/15632.75/15606.55/15578.55/15566/15471/15450.90/15431.75.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance: -16677/16688/16996/17415/17504/19575/20390.              

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It moved up further today and closed with a gain of 51.55 points. Please note that it has been moving up for the last 7 straight days so short correction looks imminent and can happen any time. But it looks good for the continuation of the up move with intermittent correction and the upside target or resistance points could be 16778---16688---16770---16857---16920---16996---17415---17504---19575---20390,   please note that moving up the most critical and tough resistance range would be 16770---16857—16920(figures will change every day) so please be careful in this range it may correct here before moving up further or it may top out in this range or earlier also. Similarly moving down its critical support points are at 16518.60---16475---16404---16365.40---16322(these figures may change). Please note that break below 16518.60(this figure may change) will push it into very short term correction mode and break below 16365.40 (this figure may change) could push it into deep short term correction mode and break below 16322 may weaken it further, but as long as it holds 15962.25 level there is no major threat to the long term uptrend. The other support points will be at 16223---16162---16133---16084---15962.25, sustained break below 15962.25 may accelerate the fall which may please e noted.

It is important to mention here that its long term technical setup is good for the uptrend to continue. The short term outlook is also strong; furthermore one very important technical indicator has also become positive on the daily and weekly chart which is an extremely positive sign. Therefore further rise is ahead in coming days with intermittent corrections. It is a buy on dip market now but one should be cautious if it breaks 16322 and sustain on the closing basis. The bias is bullish as of now.

In view of the above observation, long trade can be tried if it moves above  16630 and maintain for some time or buy on decline at appropriate point or near 16475 but not below it, however aggressive traders can try long trade on decline at appropriate points or near 16322 but not below it. Please note that long trade below 16475 could be a risky affair for the day.  It is in strong up move but still below some of its very critical long term averages, therefore short trade can also be tried after reasonable rise or can be tried on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday gains.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY (Suggested)

1. Buy if it moves above 16630 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 16590. It is for both the traders. It could be a risky trade.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 16475 but not below it with a stop loss of 16440. It is for both the traders.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 16322 but not below it with a stop loss of 16275. It is for the aggressive traders and could be a highly risky trade.

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 16660---16680 with a stop loss of 16710. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Or

Sell if it moves below 16475 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 16520. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Or

Sell if it does not move above 16630 in first one and half hour of trade even intraday with a stop loss of 16665. It could be a highly risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

  Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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