Monday, 31 May 2021

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR-1.6.2021

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—15437.75--High—15606.35—Low—15374---Close-15582.80 on 31.5.2021.

Support:15471/15431.75/15336.30/15273.15/15263/15257.10/15176.50/15051.60/14984.15/14888.80/14883.20/14753.55/14653.35/14595/14484.12/14467.75/14459.50/14350.10/14264.40/14248/14222.80/14151.40/14024.85/13996.11/13981.75.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance:15606.35/15780/15920/16223/16750/17250/17503/19575/20390.        

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It crossed its most critical point of 15471 today and if it sustains above it on the closing basis then there could a very big upside ahead in coming days and it could move up to 15780---15920---16223---16750---17250---17503---19575---20390 levels, but please note that it could end the up rally for good at any of these points or earlier also or may correct at any of these points and then may resume the rally again. Similarly moving down its critical points are 15471---15431.75 & 15263(this figure can change), sustained break below 15471 on the closing basis will signal weakness in it, sustained break below 15431.75 will confirm the weakness and break below 15263(this figure can change),  will push it into corrective mode and may threaten the uptrend also , which may please be noted. It is therefore strongly suggested to avoid long trade below 15471 and below 15431.75 for sure.

It is important to mention here that technically this on-going uptrend is showing enough strength and looking good for the continuation of the up move but this up rally is not in sync with the fundamentals and you are well aware that it is the fundamentals which eventually hold the Priceline. Therefore this on-going up rally may deceive you at any point of time, so be alert and careful in long trade henceforth.   

In view of the above observation long trade can be tried if it moves above 15607 and maintain for some time or can buy on decline but not below 15471. Please note that it has been rising continuously for the last seven days, so it could correct any time, therefore buy on decline could be a risky trade for the day. Since it had straight rise therefore chances of corrective move looks quite imminent, so short trade can also be tried after reasonable rise or can be tried on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the corrective move.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY (Suggested)

1. Buy on decline near 15471 but not below it with a stop loss of 15420. It could be a risky trade for the day.   

Or

Buy if it moves above 15607 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 15570. It could be a risky trade at this point of time.  

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 15740---15780 with a stop loss of 15810. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Or

Sell if it does not move above 15607 in first one and half hour of trade with a stop loss of 15640. It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

Or

Sell if it moves below 15471 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 15510. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Or

Sell if it moves below 15420 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 15480. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

 Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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