Wednesday, 30 December 2020

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR—31.12.2020

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—13980.90 --High—13997—Low—13864.95---Close-13981.95 on 30.12.2020.

Support:13943/13777.50/13769/13721/13658.60/13611/13597.50/13548.90/13530.71/13454.48/13399.30/13242/13145.85/13131.4512963/12790.40/12730.25/12607.70/12430.50/12293.90/12286.45/12246.70/12158.80/12025.45/11929.60/11802.65/11794.25/11614.50/11535.45.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance: 14034/14055/14095/14170/14296/14310.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

The rally continued in a robust manner for the sixth straight day and it ended the day with a gain of 49.35 points. Its key points are at 13792.73---13712.24---13416.07---13240.20---12466.33---12430.50(except for 12430.50 other figures can change). It is well above the key points, which is a positive sign for the continuation of the up move. Please note that sustained break below the key points of 13792.73 & 13712.24 can push it into very short term correction mode which can last for 1-2 days, sustained break below 13416.07 on the closing basis will push it into deep short term correction mode which can last slightly longer, sustained break below 13240.20 will push it into medium term correction mode which can last even longer and most importantly sustained break below 12466.30 on the closing basis can push it into long term correction mode and will potentially threaten the uptrend also and finally sustained break below 12430.50 on the closing basis will further dampen the uptrend for sure, which may please be noted.

The overall technical setup is looking strong for the continuation of the up move because it is well above its key points and also well above its short, medium and long term moving averages.  But the only concern is that today was the 6th straight day of rise and as the straight days rise number increases the vulnerability of correction also increases, so it could correct anytime for a day or two otherwise it is o.k. in all respect for the up move. In view of this one should be slightly cautious in the long trade at this point of time. The bias is on the upside.

Moving down its critical support points at 13953---13792.73---13769---13712.24---13666.36---13597.50---13548.90---13462---13393.61---13335---13240.20---13145.75---13131.45---13068---13025---12963---12790---12751---12730---12709.05---12636.35---12607.70---12430.50.

Moving up its critical resistance points at 14055---14095---14177---14296---14310.

In view of the above observation long trade can tried if it moves and maintain above 13997 for some time or on the decline but not below 13792. Since it is in the strong up move therefore short trade in general should be avoided but short trade can also be attempted on the rise at appropriate price range or on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday corrective move irrespective of the trend.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY

1. Buy if it moves and maintains above 13997 for some time with a stop loss of 13960.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 13792 but not below it with a stop loss of 13750.

2. Sell if does not move above 13997 even in intraday in first one and half hour of trade with a stop loss of 14030.It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

Or

Sell if it moves and maintains below 13750 for some time with a stop loss of 13805.It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

Or

Sell on the rise near or within the range of 14075--14120 with a stop loss of 14130. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

 Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 


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