Saturday, 29 August 2020

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--BANK NIFTY FOR –31.8.2020

 

CNX--BANK NIFTY

Open-23635.30--High-24611.80--Low-23599.20—Close-24523.80 on 28.8.2020

Support:24364.27/24240/23822/23605/23211.35/23080.60/22775/22479.85/22439.95/22418.

Resistance:24617/25200/25430/25725/25820/25955/26311.30.

Critical Points moving up: 24612---24880----25120----25432----25650---26311.30.                                                                                                     

Critical Points moving down:-24364.27---23916---23880----23612---23211.35---23080.

(Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It is showing tremendous strength and well above its most recent critical and important point of 24364.27, so it has opened up the upside up to 26492 provided it holds 24364.27 on the closing basis. The up journey seems to continue as of now but with intermittent correction and resistance at various points on the way up. Moving up to the targeted level of 26492 the possible resistance points could be at 24880---25200---25432---25650—25725---25955---26311. Similarly if it gives short correction then the support levels on the downside could be at 24364.27---23880---23612—23211, sustained break below 24364.27 can drag it down.

In view of the above observation long trade can be tried on decline near 24364.27 if it hold this level for some time  but if it breaks this level then near 23600 but not below it or if it moves and maintains above 24612. It is suggested to avoid trying short trade in general but it should be attempted after a reasonable rise near or within the appropriate range or on the price breakdown for taking advantage of corrective move or for taking possible rally exhaustion advantage.

It is imperative to mention here that the ongoing surge in the Indian as well in the rest of the world stock market for the last few months is not at all fundamentally backed but purely liquidity driven which is concerning. In light of this instead of caution it seems that there is an irrational exuberance in the stock market now which is even more concerning. Please take my word that at this juncture if investors and traders do not exercise extreme caution and alertness particularly in the long trade then they are surely going to be trapped in coming days. One cannot time the correction but it seems that it is around the corner. 

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY

1. Buy on decline near but not below 24364.27 with a stop loss of 24250.

Or

Buy on decline near but not below 23600 with a stop loss of 23500.

Or

Buy if it moves and maintains above 24611 for some time with a stop loss of 24500. It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 25300---25450 with a stop loss of 25550. It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

Or

Sell if it moves below 23600 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 23700. It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

No comments:

Post a Comment

Thank you for sharing your views.