Open—13130--High—13145.85—Low—12833.65---Close-12858.40
on 25.11.2020.
Support:12769.75/12430.50/12328/12294/12283/12246.70/12178/12159/12103.05/12041.15/12025.45/11981.75/11929.60/11841.30/11832.30/11803/11794.25/11775.75/11761/ 11665/11661/11633/11618.10/11614/11584/11535.45/11507.65/11490.75/11460.35/11447.
Resistance:12938.25/12963/13032/13145.85/13294/13419/13611/13640/1377914334/15043.
(Bold and underlined
figures are most important)
Further to my last post of 23.11.2020
it moved up and hit a new high of 13145.80
today and then slipped down sharply and closed with a huge loss of 196.75 points, which is weak sign. Furthermore
it has also broken its first most critical points of 12870 for 26.11.2020 (figures
changes every day), if it sustain below 12870 on the closing basis and then breaks the other critical point
of 12760 and sustain then it could
witness accelerated down move which may please be noted. Its other key points
are at 13047.75---12765.80---12590---12430.5---11816(except
for 12430.50 other figures can change), since it has broken its first key
point of 13047.75 so it has already gotten
into very short term correction and if it does not bounce back above it shortly
then correction may deepen, sustained break below 12765.80 on the closing basis will push it into short term
correction mode, sustained break below 12590
will push it into medium term correction mode, sustained break below 12430.50
will indicate that it could lose steam for continuation of the up move and most
importantly sustained break below 11816 on
the closing basis can push it into long term correction mode and will
potentially threaten the uptrend also, which may please be noted. The overall
technical setup is still looking o.k. for the up move but certain technical
indicators are showing negative divergence and if that comes into play then it
could witness sharp fall and then correction may last for some time, looking at
today’s move it seems that further fall is very likely to happen in coming days.
It is therefore advised that one should be very alert and cautious in the long
trade. So watch out.
Moving down its critical support points at 12765---12730---12590---12530---12430.50---12340---12245---12150---11968---11915---11857---11816.
Moving up its critical resistance points at 12870---12963---13047.75---13145.85---13294---13419---13611—13640.
In view of the above observation for safe traders long trade should be
avoided on the decline for the day but can be tried if it moves and maintain
above 12920 for some time. But aggressive
traders can try long trade on decline at appropriate points or near 12770 but not below it or if it
maintains above 12920 for some time.
Kindly note that in light of today down
move buy on decline trade for the day could be a risky affair mind you. Since
it slipped into very short correction mode today and some other technical indicators
are also pointing that it may seek lower levels in coming days, therefore short
trade can also be attempted after a reasonable rise or on the price breakdown
for taking advantage of the corrective move.
NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down
before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap
up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing
volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t
have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.
TRADING STRATEGY
1. Buy if it moves and maintain above 12920 for some time with a
stop loss of 12840. It could be a risky trade.
Or
Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 12770 but not below
it with a stop loss of 12725. It is for aggressive traders and could be a risky
trade.
2. Sell near or within the range of 12970--13020
with a stop loss of 13060. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for
intraday corrective move.
Or
Sell if it moves and maintains below 12770 for
some time with a stop loss of 12840. It could be a highly risky trade but worth
trying for intraday correction.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not
at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on
the above view.
Kindly note that make
your cost your stop loss in favorable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE
WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated here are of spot market.
Contact me for
strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.
Thanks
Narendra
Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.