AN ELABORATE TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-BANK NIFTY FOR—31.12.2025

 

CNX-BANK NIFTY

Open—58885.95---High—59272.70--Low—58737.60---Close—59171.25 on 30.12.2025. 

Support:58925.70/58799.90/59712.70/58688.55/59649.50/58577.50/58469.90/58050/57628.40/57594.25/57482.05/57363.70/57157.85/57049.50/56623.60/56594.25/56204.85/56098.70/55821/55695/55547.35/55475.45/55149.30/54905.60/54576.60/54467.35/54226.60/54176.45/53888.30/53561,75/53483.05/53357.70/52794.95/52782.75/52760.20/52577.50/52493.95/52354.85/51979.75/51749.45/51749.45/51693.50/51138.90/51133.20/51000.90/50947.70/50860.20/50841.90/50641.75/50438.30/50382.10/50369.40/50194.30/49974.75/49904.40/49836.10/49787.10/49688.80/49654.65/49459/49300/49162.65/49057.40/48972.55/48906.05/48839.10/48734.35/48636.45/48525.60/48292.25/48203.45/48161.75/48074.05/47898.35/47844.15/47702.90/47363.40/46983.75/46077.85/45828.80/45661.75/44633.85/44429/43600.25/43345.45/43230.95/42582.20/42105.40. 

Resistance:59440.10/59478.15/59545.70/59806.60/60114.30/60169/60231/60354/60678/60719/60875/61041/61342/.

OVERALL, VIEW: --

It opened on a negative note and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a gain of 238.90 points. After 4 days of fall it had a relief rally today, so watch out for next 2-3 trading sessions how it pans out. It is also important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points are 56922.70, 55616.45,51361, 51244 & 50496), which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility and it is not a good sign for a steady market.

It is still into correction mode, below its key points for the month of December-2025 (mentioned below in the important note) which are important to keep the up momentum on,  below short term trend-line and above all the volatility is a deep concern and can drag it down further. The technical setup is slightly weak , but the good thing it that it has made higher bottom on the line chart today(but yet to make higher top, so watch out) above almost all moving averages, therefore it is showing hope that it may resume the up-move again. Therefore please note that moving down if it holds its key support points of 59101.08---59084----59043.48---58925.70---58799.90----58724.80----58649.50---58567.90---57188---57157.85(figures may change)  on the closing basis then the chances of the up-move  will be alive, but it is already  into correction mode , therefore break & sustained close below the range of 59101.08---59084----59043.48 may dampen the chances of an up-move, break & sustained close below the range of 58925.70---58799.90----58724.80----58649.50---58567.90 will trigger fresh fall and push it into deep correction mode and can drag it down further and finally break & sustained close below 57188 & 57157.85 (figure may change) may witness an accelerated fall and if it sustains below these points then the long term uptrend will also be threatened and correction could be more painful time-wise and price-wise both, which may please be noted.

Moving up the target or resistance points could be at 59273---59416.58----59621---59627.13----59752.70-----59768.61------59834---59897.50---60102.05---60169---60231---60354--60678 (some figures may change) (for complete resistance points see the table on the upside) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move again or may halt the up-move for a while. Please note that if it moves above 59273 and sustain on the closing basis then it may gain strength and likely to extend the up move further, if it moves above the range of 59416.58----59621---59627.13----59752.70-----59768.61 it will get out of corrective mode and may resume the up-move and if it moves above 59834 and sustain on the closing basis then it could retest its all-time high of 60114.30 or may go beyond it also. It is in the strong long-term uptrend but it is into correction mode now.

IMPORTANT NOTE: - THE IMPORTANT POINTS FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER-2025 ARE 59752.70----59897.50 & 60102.05 AND TO KEEP THE UP MOMENTUM GOING IN THIS MONTH IT HAS TO SUSTAIN ABOVE THESE POINTS ON THE CLOSING BASIS, ELSE IT MAY START TO DRIFT DOWN

TECHNICAL INDICATORS AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT;-

POSITIVE POINTS:-

1. It is in the neutral/oversold zone, so it may rally at times but that may not last.

2. it is above almost all its short term moving averages on the daily, above all on the weekly& monthly chart.

3. it is above almost all its medium term moving averages on the daily, above all on the weekly& monthly chart.

4. It is above all its long terms moving average on the daily chart and the top average is placed at 57188(figure will change daily) for the day.

NEGATIVE POINTS:-

1. Almost all the important indicators such as MACD, PS,EV, ST, VM & ADX are in the sell mode and RSI with negative divergence, so down move may happen at times and it can extend also.

2. It is below one short terms moving average on the daily chart.

3. It is below one medium terms moving average on the daily chart.

In view of the above observation there is a mixed possibility and it can swing both ways but with a slight downward-bias as of now. Furthermore please also note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence and in the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a concern, therefore fall also cannot be ruled out in coming weeks & months. Please keep an eye on the critical resistance & support points and price action for further directional indication.

TECHNICAL INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART: -

WEEKLY CHART: - Almost all the important indicators are positive MACD, EV, PS & ADX are in the buy mode, so the up-move may extend,   but RSI is showing negative divergence, and VM & ST is in the sell mode and it is in the overbought zone, therefore fall also looks quite likely in coming weeks. So it is giving mixed sign with slight tilt towards the upside as of now.

MONTHLY CHART:-Few indicators are in the buy mode such as MACD,PS,ST & ADX but it is in the overbought zone and with negative divergence in RSI and  VM is in the sell mode, therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with a slight tilt towards up-side as of now.

IT IS SELL ON THE RISE MARKET  NOW;-

It is into short term correction mode for its recent rise, therefore it is sell on the rise market now till it close above 59520 and sustain.  But long trade can also be tried on decline or sharp decline near critical support points or range with strict stop losses, for intraday gains.

STRENGTH: -

1. It is above its most crucial 1^st & 2nd bottom of 57157.85 & 54226.60, if it sustains above, it on the closing basis then the chances of the up-move will be alive.

2. It is above few of its correction threshold points of 59101.08---58724.80-----58567.90 (figure may change), sustained close above these points may keep the hope alive for moving up further.

3. It is above its major long-term rising trend line which is placed at 57258 for the month of December-2025, it is a good sign.

4. Its major long term rising trend line drawn from the bottom of 16116 made in 2020 is placed at 57676 (figure may change daily) for the day.

5. It is above its down trend-line which is placed at 58897(figure may change daily), close above this line will keep the hope alive for the up-move.

6. It is above its short-term rising trend line, which is placed at 59100 (figure will change daily) for 31.12.2025, if it sustains above it then it can extend the up- move.

7. It is above almost all (except for one) of its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the important average range for day is between 59201---59148--59125---59105---59103--59084(figure will change every day), sustained close above this range can help it to extend the up-move further.

8. It has made higher bottom on the line chart today, but yet to make higher top ,so watch-out.

WEAKNESS: -

1. Volatility and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.

2. It is into correction mode as it is below few of its threshold points of 59768.61----59627.13---59416.58----59297.50 (figure may change), sustained close below these points can pull it down further.

3. The price action was mixed today.

TRADING CALL: -- 

1.

For aggressive traders long trade can be tried on decline near  59045 if it holds this point for some time then, with a stop loss of 58900 or can buy if it moves above 59273 and maintain for some time then with a stop loss of 59100 for intraday gain else avoid. For safe traders it is suggested that they should try long trade only once it closes above 59520 and sustain, else avoid. Please note that long trade in a corrective market could be a risky affair, but can be tried near critical support points for intraday gains.

2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 59600---59700 with a stop loss of 59800 or can sell if it moves below 58900 and maintain for some time then with a stop loss of 59050.  It could be a risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa. Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Email—suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.