AN ELABORATE TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-BANK NIFTY FOR—19.12.2025

 

CNX-BANK NIFTY

Open—58712.70---High—59211--Low—58712.70---Close—58912.85 on 18.12.2025. 

Support:58688.55/58577.50/58469.90/58380.50/57628.40/57594.25/57482.05/57363.70/57157.85/57049.50/56623.60/56594.25/56204.85/56098.70/55821/55695/55547.35/55475.45/55149.30/54905.60/54576.60/54467.35/54226.60/54176.45/53888.30/53561,75/53483.05/53357.70/52794.95/52782.75/52760.20/52577.50/52493.95/52354.85/51979.75/51749.45/51749.45/51693.50/51138.90/51133.20/51000.90/50947.70/50860.20/50841.90/50641.75/50438.30/50382.10/50369.40/50194.30/49974.75/49904.40/49836.10/49787.10/49688.80/49654.65/49459/49300/49162.65/49057.40/48972.55/48906.05/48839.10/48734.35/48636.45/48525.60/48292.25/48203.45/48161.75/48074.05/47898.35/47844.15/47702.90/47363.40/46983.75/46077.85/45828.80/45661.75/44633.85/44429/43600.25/43345.45/43230.95/42582.20/42105.40. 

Resistance:59120/59182/59350/59455/59897.50/59918/59932/59969/59998/60033/60114.30/60169/60231/60354/60678/60719/60875/61041/61342/.

OVERALL, VIEW: --

It opened with a down gap and thereafter had both side moves during the day and in the process filled the gap of the day and finally, ended the day with a meagre loss of 13.90 points. Please note that, it has been falling for the last three days but not broken few important support points so it may give a relief rally for a day or two and if it does not moves above certain critical points and sustain on the closing basis, then it may resume the down move again. It is also important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points are 56922.70,55616.45,51361, 51244 & 50496), which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility and it is not a good sign for a steady market.

It is still into correction mode, making lower top & bottom on the line & bar chart, below its key points for the month of December-2025(mentioned below in the important note) which are important to keep the up momentum on, below all the short-term moving averages on the daily and below few on the weekly chart and below few medium term averages also, below short term rising trend-line, technical indicators are also weak and above all the volatility is a deep concern, so all together it is exhibiting weak sign. The technical setup has weakened quite a bit but still showing some hope that it may resume the up-move, but the chances of it looks dicey. However please note that moving down its key support points are at 58799.90----58724.80----58649.50---58567.90---57157.85--56948(figures may change) and as long as  it holds these points on the closing basis then the chances of the up-move  may be alive, but it is already  into correction mode , therefore break & sustained close below the range of 58799.90----58724.80----58649.50---58567.90 will push it into deep correction mode and can drag it down further and finally break & sustained close below 57157.85 & 56948(figure may change) may witness an accelerated fall and if it sustains below these points then the long term uptrend will also be threatened and correction could be more painful time-wise and price-wise both, which may please be noted.

Moving up the target or resistance points could be at 58925.70---59043.48---59101.08-----59226----59264-----59416.58----59627.13----59752.70-----59768.61------59852---59897.50---60102.05---60169---60231---60354--60678 (some figures may change) (for complete resistance points see the table on the upside) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move again or may halt the up-move for a while. Please note that if it moves above 59043.48 and sustain on the closing basis then it may give a ray of hope of moving up further, if it moves above the range of 59226----59264 it may gain strength and may extend the up-move, if it moves above the range of 59416.58----59627.13----59752.70-----59768.61 it will get out of corrective mode and may resume the up-move, but to keep the up-momentum going in the month of December-2025 it has to move above 59852-----59897.50---60102.05 and sustain on the closing basis, else it may drift down.  It is in the strong long-term uptrend but it is into correction mode now.

IMPORTANT NOTE: - THE IMPORTANT POINTS FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER-2025 ARE 59752.70----59897.50 & 60102.05 AND TO KEEP THE UP MOMENTUM GOING IN THIS MONTH IT HAS TO SUSTAIN ABOVE THESE POINTS ON THE CLOSING BASIS, ELSE IT MAY START TO DRIFT DOWN

TECHNICAL INDICATORS AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT;-

POSITIVE POINTS:-

1. It is in the neutral/oversold zone, so it may rally at times but that may not last.

2. It is above almost all its short term moving averages on the weekly& monthly chart.

3. It is above almost all its medium-term moving average on the daily, above all on the weekly & monthly chart.

4. It is above all its long terms moving average on the daily chart and the top average is placed at 56948(figure will change daily) for the day.

NEGATIVE POINTS:-

1.  All the important indicators such as MACD, EV, PS, ST, VM & ADX are in the sell mode and RSI with negative divergence, so down move may happen at times and it can extend also.

2. It is below all its short term moving averages on the daily chart & below few on the weekly chart also.

3. It is below few medium term moving averages on the daily chart.

In view of the above observation there is a mixed possibility and it can swing both ways but with a downward-bias as of now. Furthermore please also note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence and in the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a concern, therefore fall also cannot be ruled out in coming weeks & months. Please keep an eye on the critical resistance & support points and price action for further directional indication.

TECHNICAL INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART: -

WEEKLY CHART: - Almost all the important indicators are positive MACD, EV, PS & ADX are in the buy mode, so the up-move may extend,   but RSI is showing negative divergence, and VM & ST is in the sell mode and it is in the overbought zone in certain indicators, therefore fall also looks quite likely in coming weeks. So it is giving mixed sign with slight tilt towards the upside as of now.

MONTHLY CHART:-Few indicators are in the buy mode such as MACD,PS,ST & ADX but it is in the overbought zone and with negative divergence in RSI and  VM is in the sell mode, therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with a slight tilt towards up-side as of now.

IT IS SELL ON THE RISE MARKET  NOW;-

It is into short term correction mode for its recent rise, therefore it is sell on the rise market now till it close above 59535 and sustain.  But long trade can also be tried on decline or sharp decline near critical support points or range with strict stop losses, for intraday gains.

STRENGTH: -

1. It is above its most crucial 1^st & 2nd bottom of 57157.85 & 54226.60, if it sustains above, it on the closing basis then the chances of the up-move will be alive.

2. It is above few of its correction threshold points of 58724.80-----58567.90 (figure may change), sustained close above these points may keep the hope alive for moving up further.

3. It is above its major long-term rising trend line which is placed at 57258 for the month of December-2025, it is a good sign.

4. Its major long term rising trend line drawn from the bottom of 16116 made in 2020 is placed at 57700 (figure may change daily) for the day.

WEAKNESS: -

1. Volatility and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.

2. It is into correction mode as it is below few of its threshold points of 59768.61----59627.13---59416.58--- 59101.08 (figure may change), sustained close below these points can pull it down.

3. It is below top to top rising trend line now and for 19.12.2025 it is placed at 59660 (figure may change), sustained close below it is a weak sign and can drag it down.

4. It has lower top & bottom on the line & bar chart.

5. The price action was mixed today.

6. It is below all its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the important average range for day is between 59264---59242--59214---59148---59130--59084(figure will change every day), sustained close below this range can drag it down further.

7. It is below its short-term rising trend line, which is placed at 59226 (figure will change daily) for 19.12.2025, if it sustains below it then it can slide down further.

TRADING CALL: -- 

1.

For aggressive traders long trade can be tried on decline near or within the range of 58787---58720 if it holds this range for some time then, with a stop loss of 58550 for intraday gain   else avoid. For safe traders it is suggested that they should try long trade only once it closes above 59535 and sustain, else avoid. Please note that long trade in a corrective market could be a risky affair, but can be tried near critical support points for intraday gains.

2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 59300---59400 with a stop loss of 59500.  It could be a risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa. Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Email—suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.