A TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-BANK NIFTY—9.7.2025

 

CNX-BANK NIFTY

Open—56942.55---High—57303.30--Low—56923.05---Close—57256.30 on 8.7.2025.

 

Support:57049.50/56623.60/56161.40/56098.70/55957.75/55695/55475.45//55149.30/54576.60/54467.35/54442.30/54176.45/53888.30/53483.05/53357.70/52794.95/52782.75/52760.20/52577.50/52493.95/52354.85/51979.75/51749.45/51749.45/51693.50/51138.90/51133.20/51000.90/50947.70/50860.20/50841.90/50641.75/50438.30/50382.10/50369.40/50194.30/49974.75/49904.40/49836.10/49787.10/49688.80/49654.65/49459/49300/49162.65/49057.40/48972.55/48906.05/48839.10/48734.35/48636.45/48525.60/48292.25/48203.45/48161.75/48074.05/47898.35/47844.15/47702.90/47363.40/46983.75/46077.85/45828.80/45661.75/44633.85/44429/43600.25/43345.45/43230.95/42582.20/42105.40. 

Resistance:57566/57628.40/57683/57755/58000/58224/58316/58479/58950.

OVERALL, VIEW: --

It opened on a flat to minor negative note and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a gain of 307.10 points. It is important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points are 56233.55,54054.80, 51361, 51244 & 50496) also on the downside, which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility, and is not a good sign for a steady market.

The technical setup has improved, as it is out of corrective mode and made higher top & bottom on the line chart but it will get good strength for the continuation of the up-move if it moves above the range 57312.75---57375.80 and sustain on the closing basis. However moving down  it will find strong support in the range of  57147.89---57049.50----57043.33----56908.08---56820----56741----56650.10----56549----56098.70(some figures may change daily) it is a good bounce back range, but break & sustained close below the range of 57147.89---57049.50----57043.33 will push it into short correction mode for its recent rise, break & sustained close below the range of 56908.08---56820----56741----56650.10 will push it into medium & deep correction mode for its recent rise and alert sign for going down, break & sustained close below 56549 may trigger fresh fall and break & sustained close below 56098.70 may witness an accelerated fall and then moving down further  its most critical support points or range could be, 55629.14----55285.91-----54467.35( some figures may change), which is yet again a very strong and important bounce back points or range and if it holds this range then the chances of resuming the up move will still be faintly alive. But break & sustained close below the range of 55629.14----55285.91 will push it into medium and deep correction mode for its earlier rise and break & sustained close below 54467.35 will dampen the chances of up-move in the year 2025.

Moving up the broad resistance points could be at 57313----57375-----57566---57629----57683---57725----57755---57850----57930----58000(for complete resistance points see the table on the upside) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move again or may pause the rally for a while. Please note that if it moves above 57629 and sustain on the closing basis then it will get back into strong up-momentum track. It is in a strong long term uptrend as of now.

TECHNICAL INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE DAILY CHART;-

It has made higher top & bottom on the line chart, it is above all its short , medium & long term moving averages on the daily, weekly & monthly chart which is a positive sign for the continuation of the up-move. But almost all the important technical indicators are negative now and majority of them are in the sell mode such as MACD, EV, VM and RSI with negative divergence and it is in the overbought zone, but ADX,ST & PS is in the buy mode , so it can have relief rally at time but there is a high probability of a correction anytime soon, so in totality as of now it is giving mixed signal therefore at times it swing both ways. Furthermore please note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence and in the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a concern, therefore further fall cannot be ruled out in coming days, so it is suggested to be extremely alert and cautious in your long trade commitments at this juncture. Please keep an eye on the critical resistance & support points and price action for further directional indication.

TECHNICAL INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART: -

On the weekly chart major important indicators are positive such as MACD, PS,ST, ADX & EV are in the buy mode,  RSI with negative divergence  and it is in the overbought zone ,which is a concern, so it can correct at times, but overall looks good for the up-move. On the monthly chart few indicators are in buy mode such as MACD, ST, PS & ADX, but it is in the overbought zone and with huge negative divergence in RSI. Therefore, all together indicators on the weekly & monthly  chart more or less seems positive for the up-move , but on the monthly chart huge negative divergence and it is in the overbought zone, which is a deep concern, therefore chances are that it can sharply go down in coming months.

IT IS BUY ON DECLINE RISE  MARKET  NOW;-

It is out of corrective mode therefore it is buy on decline market now till it holds the range of 54147.89---57049.50----57043.33 on the closing basis. But short trade can also be tried on the rise near critical resistance points or range with strict stop loss, for intraday corrective gains.

STRENGTH: -

1. It is way above its most crucial bottom of 55149.30& 53483.05, if it sustains above it on the closing basis then the chances of the up-move will be alive.

2. It is above all its long-term moving averages and the top average is placed at 53253(figure will change every day). Close below this point will be a warning signal.

3 It is above almost all its correction threshold point of 57147.89---57043.33---56908.08----56650.10----55629.14 & 55285.91 (figure may change) sustained close above these points could be a strong hope for moving up further.

4 It is way above its most critical point of 54467.35, please note that it is essential to stay above this point to keep the up-momentum going in the year-2025, else it may drift down.

5. It is above its long term rising trend-line which is placed at 54556 &50016 for the month of July—2025.

6. It is above all of its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the important average range for day is between 57107--57105--56958---56820---56650---56549(figure will change every day), sustained close above this range can help it to extend the up move.

7. It has made higher top & bottom on the line chart again.

8. The price action was positive today.

WEAKNESS: -

1. Volatility and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.

2. Almost all the important indicators have turned negative and majority are in sell mode such as MACD, EV, VM and RSI is with negative divergence and it is in the overbought zone, so, it can correct at times.

TRADING CALL: -- 

1. Safe traders should avoid long trade till it closes above 57375.80 and sustain. But aggressive traders can try long trade on decline near or within the range of 57150---57050 but not below it with a stop loss of 56900 for a possible intraday gain, else avoid.

2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 57500—57600 with a stop loss of 57700 or can sell if it moves below 56900 and maintain for some time then with a stop loss of 57060.  It could be a risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Email—suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.