A TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-BANK NIFTY—6.12.2023

 

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CNX-BANK NIFTY

Open---46895.90---High—47230.55---Low---46653.65---Close—47012.25 on 5.12.2023.

Support:46850/46484.45/46369.50/46310.40/45905.85/45893.80/45816/45782.75/45655.50/45238.80/45118.05/44949.90/44779.65/44710.55/.43600.35/44547.80/44498.60/44279.40/44151.80/43830.75/43796.75/43345.95/43230.95/43078.90/43038.25/42986.45.

Resistance: 47123/47231/47420/47454/47575/47808/47917/48081/48925/50850.

(Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It opened up with an up gap for the 2nd day in a row and hit a new all-time high again and finally ended the day with a handsome gain of 580.85 points. It is important to mention here that the gap it created today and on 4.12.2023 is still there and if it makes an effort to fill the today’s gap in next 3-4 trading sessions and gap of 4.12.2023 in next 2-3 trading sessions, which is technically possible then it can come down to 46484 & 44951, but if it does not fill the gap in stipulated time then chances of filling the gap will recede.

It has been exhibiting extra ordinary strength and hitting new all-time high for the last two days, it is in the new territory now therefore, it is likely to extend the up move further from here but due caution is suggested, because in new territory possibility of correction is very high and since it had vertical rise therefore correction could be vertical also at times even normal correction in this case could be disturbing and it can happen any movement, so ride the on-going up move cautiously and keep a watch on the price action for correction indication. I once again repeat that the on-going up move is likely to continue with intermittent correction, but break below 46369.50 could be an alert point, break below 46286.64 & 46021(figure may change) will push it into short & deep short correction mode for its recent rise, which please note. It is in the long term uptrend and bias is bullish as of now and it is buying on decline market till it indicates otherwise.

It is important to mention here that all the five important technical indicators on the daily chart are positive now, therefore the on-going up move can extend further provided it holds the key points as mentioned above, furthermore despite the robust rise still four out of five indicators on the weekly chart and two out of five indicators on the monthly chart are negative, which is slightly concerning and indicates that after the on-going up move exhaustion it may still witness deep fall in coming weeks/months. But please note that as long as price action remains positive there is no major threat and up move can extend with intermittent correction and weekly and monthly indicators may turn positive also in coming days. So watch out.

Moving up from here it may face resistance at 47123---47231---47420---47454---47575---47808(some figure may change). Please note that it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up move again or rally may exhaust also. So watch out.

Kindly note that moving down from here it’s possible support points would be at 46850---46484.45----46369.50----46310.40---45716.61---45517---45451----44951---44764—44580---44481(figure may change) it may bounce back from any of these points, but break below each support point could weaken it and can drag it down further, which please note.

IMPORTANT NOTE: - It had left two up gaps in the last two days and if it opens up with an up gap on 6.12.2023 that is above 47230.55, then there is a distinct possibility that it may correct the same day.

TRADING TIPS:--

1. Long trade can be tried on decline near 46650 with a stop loss of 46530 or if it move above 47160 and maintains above it for some time with a stop loss of 46950. But aggressive traders can also try long trade on the sharp decline near or within the range of 46369---46286 with a stop loss of 46000.

2. It is in the long term uptrend therefore short trade in general could be a highly risky affair, but even then short trade can be attempted on reasonable rise for intraday corrective gains but with extreme caution and alert. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 47500---47600 with a stop loss of 47700.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Email—suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.