A TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-NIFTY —21.3.2023

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open-17066.60--High—17066.60--Low-16828.35---Close-16988.40 on 20.3.2023.

Support: 16888/16836—833---809/16747.70/16438.75/16410.20.

Resistance:16950/17035/17044/17166---17161/17175/17255.20/17306/17326.10/17342.10/17353.40/17405.55/17421.80/17452.90/17484/17493.55/17565/17594/ 17641/ 17680/ 17719.75/ /17761.40/17774.25/17795.55/17812/17916.80/17959.20/17972.20/17992/18016/18105.30/18114.65/18132/18141/18183.75/18210.15/18265.25/18350.95/18442.15/18473.35/18604.45/16696.10/18887.60.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)   

It is in the deep corrective mode therefore all the figures & observation in my last post of 20.3.2023 will remain the same except for the following.

1. Its long term moving average range is between 17864---17360(figures will change every day) for the day.

2. Short & Major pullback trigger points are now at 17058 & 17315 (figure will change if it breaks 16828.32).

MOVING UP CRITICAL POINTS ARE:-16950---17058---17175---17315---17360

MOVING DOWN CRITICAL POINTS ARE: - 16915---16888--16836—833---809---16747.70.

The technical setup and price action is already weak; therefore it could not build up on previous day gain and it opened on a weak note today and immediately slipped down further but staged a bounce back from the lower levels in the last hour of trade but ended the day with a loss of 111.65 points. But it managed to hold its very strong support  range of 16915---16809---16747.70 and bounced from this range , furthermore one key technical indicator in still positive after the fall , so chance of an up is still there provided it sustains the above mentioned range. Please note that if it moves above 17058 and sustain then a feeble up move is expected but a strong and meaningful pullback up move can only happen if it moves above 17315 & 17360 and sustain on the closing basis, else down move will continue with short relief rallies and it may eventually break the aforesaid strong support range in coming days, which please note. Please note that sustained break below 16747.70 on the closing basis may end the long term uptrend for a reasonable length of time. So please be extra alert in short trade near or within the above mentioned support range and in long trade also because it is in deep down correction mode and some important technical indicators on the weekly & monthly chart as of now indicates that steep fall may be ahead and it may seek much lower levels. So be watchful.

The bias is hugely bearish as of now therefore sell on the rise or sell on the price breakdown strategy should be adopted for now. However aggressive traders can try intraday long trade at critical support points with strict stop losses, but long trade could be a risky affair.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

m for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Email—suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.