Thursday, 4 August 2022

TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-BANK NIFTY FOR—5.8.2022

 

CNX-BANK NIFTY

Open—38111.05---High—38231.85---Low—37249.50---Close—37755.55 on 4.8.2022.

Support:37708.75/37581.05/37471/37238/36993/36876.35/36718.80/36651.85/36497.35/36375.35/36332/36083.70/35985.25/35926/35810.90/35762/35585.20/35543.10/35511/35481.7035327.90/35081/35016.30/34817.50/34650.95/34528/34327/34287/34233/34018.85/33908.95/33273.95/33080.45/33001/32842.30/32652.15/32415.25/32290.55/32155.35/32115.05/31906.55.

 

Resistance:37988.60/38112.75/38134/38377.35/38426.65/38765.55/38855.55/39117.15/39197/39424.85/39546.50/39895/40160.20/41367.25/41829.60.

(Bold and underlined figures are most important).

It opened with an up gap and went up further but could not sustain at the upper levels and plunged down sharply and ended the day with a loss of 233.70 points. After yesterdays mild correction it sharply corrected today but holding on to its important range of 37763.80 (this figure will scale up if it crosses its today’s high of 38231.85) ---37754.65----37594.15---37491, and as long as it holds this range chances of resuming the up move will be alive else correction may deepen. The correction may last for one or two or few more days but close above 38024 may indicate that the correction may be over and it may resume the up move again or it will give visible sign of correction completion on the downside also. It is on a good technical footing now therefore, it is likely to resume the up move once the correction is over which please note. Moving up from here the key resistance points would be at 37764---38134----38765.85---39547---39895 but in between it could face other small resistance points too, please note that market could correct from any of these points or earlier as it corrected today and then may resume the up move again after correction. Similarly moving down its key support points would be at-37754.65----37594.15---37491---36993---36830. Please note that as it has closed below its threshold point of 37763.80 for very short term correction mode, therefore technically it has slipped into correction mode, break below 37491 may weaken it further and sustained break below 36830 may accelerate the fall, which may please be noted. It is therefore suggested to avoid long trade if it closes below 37491 and can initiate long trade again once it bounces back above 37764, but close above 38024 will indicate that the correction may be over.

The overall technical setup looks good as of now, furthermore some important technical indicators are positive on the daily chart and few indicators on the weekly chart also it is also making higher top & bottom on the line and the bar chart which is a positive sign. It is in correction mode now but as long as it holds the range of 37763.80---37754.65---37724---37594.15---37491 on the closing basis chance of up move will remain alive but sustained break below this range could jeopardize the on-going up rally which may please be noted. It is important to mention here that if it has the desired strength for the up move to continue then it should not break 36738.95 levels on the downside on the closing basis in even severe correction also, which please note. It is a buy on dip market for sure as of now till it signals otherwise.

In view of the above observation  long trade can be tried if it closes above 38024 or  can buy on decline near or within the range of 37763.80---37754.65---37594.15---37491 but not below it with a stop loss 37450. But aggressive traders can also try long trade if it moves above 38024 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 37740. Although it is in the uptrend but in correction mode now therefore short trade can also be attempted after a reasonable rise or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective gains. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 38500---38600 with a stop loss of 38670 or sell near 38231 if it does not move above it in first hour of trade with a stop loss of 38350  or sell if it moves below 37450 with a stop loss of 37610. Since it is in uptrend short trade could be a risky bet but worth trying at this juncture. The short term bias is positive and medium and long term bias has also drastically improved and seems up now but has to be watched out for few days.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the tradeDay squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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