Thursday, 18 August 2022

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR—19.8.2022

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open-17898.65.15-High-17968.45-Low-17852.05-Close-17956.50 on 18.8.2022.

Support:17947.55/17920/17797/17794.60/17639.50/17490.70/17387.15/17382/17354.05/17298/17140/17003/16995/16894/16891.70/16888.70/16824.70/16793.85/16752.40/16701.95/16695/16627/16588/16565/16541/16490/16472/16410.20/16376.05/16275.50/16203.25/16172.60/16162.55/16133.57/15991/15986.42/15962.25/15914/15895/15775/15735.75/15671.45/15632.72/15578.55/15566/15513.45/15511.05/15450.90/15431.75/15367.50/15183.40.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance:18112.60/18114.65/18210.15/18342.05/18350.95/18604.45.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It opened on a negative note and then went up and crossed previous day’s high and finally ended the day near the high of the day with a meager gain of 12.25 points. But please note that it has been going up for the last 8 days in a row, therefore it is vulnerable for correction also, so be watchful. Furthermore the gap it created 16.8.2022 is still there and if it makes an effort to fill the gap in next 1-2 trading session which is technically possible then it can come down to 17724  levels, but if it do not fill the gap in stipulated time then chances of filling the gap will recede.  It is exhibiting good strength and most importantly to keep the up momentum going it has to stay above its major down trend line which is placed at 17776--17766(range will scale down every day) for the day, please note that close below 17755(figure will scale down every day) for the day will push it below the down trend line again and sustain close below the down trend line may trigger down slide. It is on a strong technical footing now therefore, it is likely to continue the up move with intermittent down correction. Moving up from here its key resistance points would be at 18114.65---18350.95---18604.45 but in between it could face other resistance points too, please note market could correct from any of these points or earlier also and then may resume the up move again. It is important to mention here that it is likely to retest its all time high of 18604.45 or may go beyond it also if it sustains above its most critical point of 17920 on the closing basis, similarly if it sustains below it on closing basis then be alert in long trade . Moving down its key support points would be at 17920---17797---17607.44(this figure will scale up if it moves above 17968.45) ---17387.15---17382---17354.05---17311.18---17298---17172.80----17158.25----17100. Please note that break below 17607.44 will push it into very short correction mode, sustained break below the range of 17388.15---17387.15---17382--17354.05 on the closing basis may jeopardize the on-going uptrend, sustained break below 17298 may deepen the correction and finally break below 17100 may accelerate the fall.   

The overall technical setup looks good as of now, furthermore some important technical indicators are positive on the daily chart and few indicators on the weekly chart also it is also making higher top & bottom on the line and the bar chart which is a very positive sign. Therefore the up move is likely to continue with in between correction till it breaks the key levels as mentioned above. In view of the above paragraph it is suggested to avoid long trade below 17766 for the day. Please note that it is still a buy on dip market as of now till it signals otherwise.

In view of the above observation long trade can be tried if it moves above 17970 and maintains for some time with a stop loss of 17920 or can try buy on decline near  or within the range of  17776--766 but not below it  with a stop loss of 17740. Although it is in the uptrend but short trade can also be attempted after a reasonable rise or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective gains. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 18090---18115 but not above it with a stop loss of 18175 or sell if it moves below 17755 with a stop loss of 17810. Since it is in uptrend short trade could be a risky bet but worth trying at this juncture. The short, medium and long term trend is positive as of now.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

m for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

 

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