Wednesday, 13 July 2022

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR—14.7.2022

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—16128.20--High—16140—Low—15950.15---Close-15966.65 on 13.7.2022.

Support:15962.25—914---903-895/15775/15735.75/15671.45/15632.72/15578.55/15566/15513.45/15511.05/15450.90/15431.75/15367.50/15183.40.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance:15986.42/15991/16133.57/16162.55/16172.60/16203.25/16275.50/16376.05/16410.20/16472/16490//16565/16695/16701.55/16752.40/16793.85/16824.70---833---837/16888.70/16891.70/16894/17006--003.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

The correction continued for the 2nd day and it closed with a loss of 91.65 points. Today it slipped below its critical support range of 16017---15991---15986.42, it is below its long term correction threshold point of 15986.42 and in for the short term correction also as far as the up rally which started from 15183 is concerned, which is concerning. Therefore till it moves above the range of 15986.42---15991---16017 at least and sustain on the closing basis, chances of up move looks slim. Please note that one important technical indicator has turned negative but the other three are still positive, furthermore it has not yet broken its recent bottom on the line and bar chart as yet, therefore chance of bounce back is still there although it is making lower high and lower lows for the last three days which is a bad sign. It is therefore suggested to avoid long trade till the signs of continuation of the up move emerge.

Since it is in long and short term correction mode therefore safe traders should avoid long trade till it closes above 16221 and sustain. However aggressive traders can try long trade for pullback gains if it moves above 16017 and maintains for some with a stop loss of 15940  for a target of 16100---16140 or on decline near 15810 but not below this with a stop loss of 15740. It is important to mention here that long trade in a corrective market could be a risky affair therefore one should be extremely cautious and careful in the long trade at this point of time. Since it is in corrective mode therefore short trade should be attempted on the rise near or within the range of 15986.42---15991---16017 with a stop loss of 16060 for a target of 15893---15858---15803, or try short trade on the price breakdown i.e. sell below 15940 with a stop loss of 16030.  It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gains in a corrective market. The short term bias is still up but it is in corrective mode, medium and long term bias is bearish as of now.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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