Saturday, 9 July 2022

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-BANK NIFTY FOR--11.7.2022

 

CNX-BANK NIFTY

Open—35258.90---High—35262.10---Low—34977.75---Close—35124.05 on 8.7.2022.

Support:35100/35016.30/34817.50/34658.70/34650.95/34528/34327/34287/34233/34018.85/33908.95/33273.95/33080.45/33001/32842.30/32652.15/32415.25/32290.55/32155.35/32115.05/31906.55.

 

Resistance:35327.90/35481.70/35511//35585.20/35762/35810.90/35926/35985.25/36083.70/36375.35/36497.35/36651.85/36718.80/36876.35/37232.20/37581.05/37708.75/37988.60.

(Bold and underlined figures are most important).

The pullback rally is on and it has decisively crossed its critical point of 34439, which is a positive sign. Please note that it is above its short and some of the medium term moving averages now and some important technical indicators on the daily chart are also positive (but technical indicators are weak on the weekly and monthly chart as of now and it is still below its long term moving averages also, therefore it is very much likely to resume  down move again once the on-going rally ends ), furthermore it is also making higher top & bottom on the line and the bar chart, therefore all together it is showing good strength now and indicate that up move may continue for some more time. It is important to mention here that in all probability it is a pullback rally and you are well aware that these rallies can end abruptly as it happened in the past also, so although up move is indicating strength and short term bias is up now, but one should be extremely alert and vigilant in the long trade at this juncture.

Kindly note that moving up it may face stiff resistance at 35189---35262---35325---35481---35485---357162---35850---35958.45 and this rally may end at any of these points or earlier also, but if it moves above the range of 35481—35585---35762 and sustain on the closing basis then it may pick up strong up momentum and rally can extend further. In this context please note that if it holds 35104 levels (this figure will change every day) on the closing basis, then chances will remain intact that it may cross the above mentioned range. Similarly moving down break below 34823.65(figure will move up if it crosses it recent high of 35262.10) on the closing basis can push it into very short term corrective mode and sustained break below 34637 may make the correction little deeper and sustained break below 34439 on the closing basis will indicate that up move will be difficult to resume and finally break below 33940 on the closing basis will indicate potential weakness in the on-going uptrend and break below 33815.90(figure may change as rally progress) on the closing basis may  end the ongoing up move for good and it may start down journey again. So watch out

In view of the above observation, long trade can be tried if it moves above 35270 and maintains for some with a stop loss of 35050 or on decline near or within the range of 34637---34439  but not below this range with a stop loss of 34200. The highly aggressive traders can also try long trade on decline near 33940 but not below it with a stop loss of 33790. Please note that long trade below 34439 could be a risky affair. It is suggested to be extremely cautious and watchful in long trade at this point of time. Short trade can also be attempted on the reasonable rise and at appropriate points or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective gains. The short term trend is positive as of now, but the medium and long term trend is still in danger. 

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the tradeDay squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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