Open—15800.60--High—15862.80—Low—15744.85---Close-15763.05
on 30.7.2021.
Support:15673.95/15635.95/15632.75/15606.55/15578.55/15566/15471/15450.90/15431.75/15336.30/15273.15/15263/15257.10/15176.50/15051.60/14984.15/14888.80/14883.20/14753.55/14653.35/14595/14484.12/14467.75/14459.50/14350.10/14264.40/14248/14222.80/14151.40/14024.85/13996.11/13981.75.
Resistance: - 15780/15835.55/15877/15885.75/15899.80/15915.65/15920/15962.25/
16024/16074/16180/16223/16631/17360/17503/19575/20390.
(Bold and underlined
figures are most important)
It moved in a positive territory
through-out the day but in last hour of trade it plunged down sharply and
closed near the low of the day with a small loss of 15.40 points. It is still into very short term correction mode, it
is below its major key point of 15780
and also below its short and medium term moving averages these are the weak
signs. Please note that it has to move above 15780 & 15841.57 on the closing basis to come out of
present corrective mode and to give it some strength, but it has to move above 15873 and sustain on the closing basis
then possibly it could retest its recent all-time high of 15962.25 and to reach here it will face stiff hurdles at 15900---15920---15952.35 and if it
could cross 15962.25 and sustain
then the upside target could be at 16024---16074---16109---16180---16200---16223---16583---16630.
It is already into corrective mode now and if it sustains below 15780 on the closing basis then it could
further drift down and could accelerate the fall. But if it holds 15632 on the closing basis then it
could still make an effort to move up. It
is important to mention here that it has bed of supports in the range of 15673---15632---15606—15566---15471--15431,
therefore till it holds this range there is no fear of sharp and consistent
decline. Please note that it is moving in
a broad range of 15962.25---15431 for quite some time now. Therefore it is
suggested to play the range with the help of above mentioned in between support
and resistance levels till either side breakout happens.
It is important to mention here that
its long term technical setup is still
good for the uptrend to continue as of now ,
therefore as long as it hold 15471 & 15431.75
on the closing basis there is no major threat to the uptrend. The short term
outlook weak, furthermore one very important technical indicator on the daily
and weekly chart is still showing weakness and indicates that it could drag it
down again if it does not improve in coming days. So watch out and be cautious
and careful particularly in your long trades at this point of time.
In view of the above observation, for
safe traders it is suggested to try long trade if it moves and closes above 15873 avoid buy on decline for now.
However aggressive traders can try long
trade if it moves above 15800 and
maintain for some time or can try buy on decline at appropriate points or near 15709 but not below it. Please note that
buy on decline could be a risky affair for the day. Lastly and most importantly
long trade should be attempted on sharp decline in the range of 15471---15431 but not below it with a strict
stop loss of 15380. Since it has not
yet crossed some of its critical long term averages and one technical indicator
is still showing extreme weakness, therefore short
trade can also be tried after reasonable rise or can be tried on the price
breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday or otherwise corrective move.
NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap
up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short
trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice
versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared
off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested
in any case.
TRADING STRATEGY (Suggested)
1. Buy if it moves above 15800 and maintain for some time with a
stop loss of 15730. It is for the aggressive traders and could be a highly
risky trade.
Or
Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 15709 but not below
it with a stop loss of 15660. It for the aggressive traders and could be a
highly risky trade.
2. Sell on the rise near or
within the range of 15900---15930 for some time with a stop loss of 15970. It
could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.
Or
Sell if it moves below 15709
and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 15800. It could be a risky trade
but worth trying for intraday gain.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not
at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on
the above view.
Kindly note that make
your cost your stop loss in favorable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE
WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated here are of spot market.
Contact me for
strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
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