Friday, 25 June 2021

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX-NIFTY FOR-28.6.2021

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open—15839.35--High—15870.80—Low—15772.30---Close-15863 on 25.6.2021.

Support:18835.55/15780/15673.95//15629.65/15606.55/15566/15471/15450.90/15431.75/15336.30/15273.15/15263/15257.10/15176.50/15051.60/14984.15/14888.80/14883.20/14753.55/14653.35/14595/14484.12/14467.75/14459.50/14350.10/14264.40/14248/14222.80/14151.40/14024.85/13996.11/13981.75.                                                                                                                                                           

Resistance: -15877/15895.75/15901.60/ 15920/ 15989/16085/16223/16750.          

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It managed to hold its critical point of 15780 and consolidated today and closed with a gain of 72.55 points, which is a good sign for the up move to continue.  Therefore as long as it holds 15780 on the closing basis the up journey will continue with intermittent down correction. Moving up the next potential resistance or target points will be at 15902---15920---16024---16074---16180---16223. Please note that sustained break below 15780 may jeopardize the up move and sustained break below 15673.95 could push it into very short corrective mode. It is important to mention here that its long term technical setup is very good as of now, therefore as long as it hold 15471 & 15431.75 on the closing basis there is no major threat to the uptrend. The long and short term bias is positive as of now. Kindly note that it is looking fine technically for the up move,  but with every up move  the valuation of the constituent stocks are also getting stretched , so be careful and cautious in the long trade because there is a possibility that this up move may exhaust also at any of the above mentioned points or earlier also.

It is important to mention here that technically this on-going uptrend is showing enough strength and looking good for the continuation of the up move but this up rally is not in sync with the fundamentals and you are well aware that it is the fundamentals which eventually hold the Priceline. Therefore this on-going up rally may deceive you at any point of time, so be alert and careful in long trade henceforth.   

In view of the above observation, for safe traders long trade can be tried if it moves above 15902 and sustain for some time or can try on decline but not below 15780. However aggressive trader can also try long trade if it moves above 15871 and maintain for some time or can try on decline at appropriate points or near 15673 but not below it. Please note that long trade below 15780 could be a risky trade and below 15673 could be a highly risky trade mind you because if it moves and sustain below it for a longer time during the day then it could move down sharply. Lastly long trade can be tried on decline in the range of 15471---15431 but not below it with a stop loss of 15380. Since it has not yet crossed some of its critical long term averages, therefore short trade can also be tried after reasonable rise or can be tried on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday or otherwise corrective move.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY (Suggested)

1. Buy if it moves above 15871 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 15840. It for the aggressive traders and could be a risky trade.

Or

Buy if it moves above 15902 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 15850. It is for both the traders.

Or

Buy on decline near 15780 but not below it with a stop loss of 15750. It is for both the traders.

Or

Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 15673 but not below it with a stop loss of 15640. It is for the aggressive traders and could be a highly risky trade.

2. Sell on the rise near or within the range of 15920---15940 with a stop loss of 15970. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain.

Or

Sell if it moves below15780 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 15820.

Or

Sell if it moves below15673 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 15720.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

  Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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