Tuesday, 23 February 2021

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON CNX--BANK NIFTY FOR--24.2.2021

 

CNX--BANK NIFTY

Open-35540.55--High-35680.85--Low—34976—Close-35116.95 on 23.2.2021

Support:32842.30/32718.75/31725.85/31650.90/31510.25/30945.20/30893.65/30197.85/29687.70

Resistance: 35428.15/35584.60/35648/35815.75/35884/36086/36397/36615.20/36647/36897/37170/37284/37708.25/38286/38520.

(Bold and underlined figures are most important)

The correction continued for the 6th straight day which a very weak sign and it is likely to go down further in coming days with intermittent relief rallies from time to time. Please note that its critical and most important points for the year 2021 are 32613.10---32465.45---31297.30 & 31264.05 and it is well above these points now and as long as it hold these points on the closing basis uptrend will remain intact. Its other key points are placed at 37170---35815.75---35648---33625---32612.92(figures can change) It is well below its first 3 key points therefore it is already into real short term correction mode and if it does not bounce back at least above 35621 in next 2-3 trading session and sustain on the closing basis then the correction may last longer, sustained break below 33625 will push it into medium term correction mode and it can last even longer and most importantly sustained break below 32612.92 on the closing basis can push it into long term correction mode and can potentially threaten the uptrend also, which may please be noted.  

It is in a short term correction mode now and continuously falling but it can give relief rally any time and if it moves and sustain above 35621 (this figure will change and scale downward if it break the level of 34976) on the closing basis then only the relief rally can last some time and sustained close above 36200(figure may change) may give it some momentum else down move may continue. It is important to mention here that sustain close above 37163(this figure may change) may resume the steady up move again. Please note that the short term technical setup is weak now but the long term setup is still o.k.

Moving down its critical support points at -34812----34644---34556---34373---34018.

Moving up its critical resistance points at 35648---35815.75---35884---36095---36403---36615.20---36711---36897----37100---37163---37284---37708.75---38286---38520---38914---39021---41145---42808.

It is in correction mode therefore long trade should be avoided in general but those who want to take advantage of the possible pullback or relief rally for them safe traders should avoid buy on decline and can only try long trade if it moves above 35621 and sustain for some time but here please note that once it closes above this mark then the long trade would be less risky. However, for aggressive traders long trade can be tried on decline also but not below34976. In this context please note that pullback rallies are treacherous in nature and can end abruptly also therefore be alert and extremely cautious in the long trade for pullback gains. Please note that buy on decline could be a risky proposition at this point of time. Since it is in correction mode now short trade can also be tried after a reasonable rise in the appropriate range or on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday down correction or otherwise but with extreme alertness and caution because the long term technical setup is still o.k. as of now.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

TRADING STRATEGY

1. Buy if it moves and maintain above 35621 for some time with a stop loss of 35500.It could be a risky trade.

Or

Buy on decline near but not below 34976 with a stop loss of 34890.It is for aggressive traders and could be a risky trade.

2. Sell if it maintains below 34976 for some time with a stop loss of 35120. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday correction.

Or

Sell on the rise near the range of 35700--35800 with a stop loss of 35900.It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

 Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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