Open—14782.25--High—14854.50—Low—14651.85---Close-14
707.80on 23.2.2021.
Support:14653.35/14222.80/13953.75/13777.50/13596.75/13399.30/13145.85/13131.45.
Resistance:14753.55/14823.07/14899/14977.20/15069/15102/15165/15257.10/15305/15325/15431.75/15471.
(Bold and underlined
figures are most important)
It staged a very weak pullback rally today but this is not
enough to take it higher, it has to close above 14825 and sustain to give some strength to the rally else it will
fizzle out any moment. Its most critical points for the year 2021 are 14024.85---13996.11 & 13981.75 and it is way above these points
now and as long as it holds these points on the closing basis uptrend will
remain intact. Its other key points are at 15324.50---14998.70---14888.80---14336.34---13562.48---12430.50(except
for 12430.50 other figures can change). It is well below its first 3 key points therefore it is already into
real short term correction mode and if it does not bounce back at least above 14825 in next 2-3
trading session and sustain on the closing basis then the correction may last
longer, sustained break below 14336.34 on the closing basis will push it into medium term
correction mode and it can last even longer and most importantly sustained
break below 13562.48 on the closing
basis can push it into long term correction mode and will potentially threaten
the uptrend and finally sustained break below 12430.50 on the closing basis will further dampen the uptrend for
sure, which may please be noted.
It is in a short term correction mode now and as expected it
did give a small pullback rally today but this rally can extend only once it
moves and sustain above 14825 (this
figure will change and scale downward if it break the level of 14635.05) on
the closing basis and sustained close above 14925(figure may change) may give it some momentum else down move
may continue. It is important to mention here that sustain close above 15085 & 15272.50(this figure may
change) may resume the steady up move again. Please note that the short
term technical setup is weak now but the long term setup is still o.k.
Moving down its critical support points
at 14696---14675---14610---14553---14514---14336.37---14297---14241---14024.85---13996.11---13981.75.
Moving up its critical resistance points
at 14754---14825---14888.80---15025---15069---15102---15165---15195---15228---15325---15431.75---15471---15868---15941---16625.
It is in correction mode therefore long trade should be avoided in
general but those who want to take advantage of the possible pullback or relief
rally for them safe traders should avoid buy on decline and can only try long
trade if it moves above 14825 and
sustain for some time but here please note that once it closes above this mark
then the long trade would be less risky. However, for aggressive traders long
trade can be tried on decline also but not below14675 or can buy at CMP. In this context please note that pullback
rallies are treacherous in nature and can end abruptly also therefore be alert
and extremely cautious in the long trade for pullback gains. Please note that
buy on decline could be a risky proposition at this point of time. Since it is in correction mode now
short trade can also be tried after a reasonable rise in the appropriate range
or on the price breakdown for taking advantage of the intraday down correction
or otherwise but with extreme alertness and caution because the long term
technical setup is still o.k. as of now.
NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down
before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap
up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing
volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t
have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.
TRADING STRATEGY
1. Buy if it moves and sustain above 14825 levels for some time
with a stop loss of 14790.It is for safe traders but still it could be a risky
trade.
Or
Buy on decline near but not below 14675 with a stop loss of 14630.
It is for aggressive traders and could be a highly risky trade.
Or
Buy if it sustain above 14708 for some time with a stop loss of
14660.It is for aggressive traders and could be a risky trade.
2. Sell on the rise near 14900 with a stop loss of
14940. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday correction.
Or
Sell if it moves and sustain below 14635 for some time with a stop
loss of 14710. It could be a risky trade
but worth trying for intraday correction.
Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not
at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on
the above view.
Kindly note that make
your cost your stop loss in favorable trade
and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE
WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note:
Price stated here are of spot market.
Contact me for
strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.
Thanks
Narendra
Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.