Open-31490.60--High-32148.40--Low—31377.15--Close-31722.30 on 23.4.2021
Support:31661/31649.49/31297.30/31264.05/32260/31015/30915/30870/30843/30669/30648/30540/30338.35/30220.20/29687.70/29612.55/29156/28976.75/28525.45/28388.65/27652/26641—560/26441/25598.
Resistance;31783.60/32157.05/32347.20/32415.15/32465.45/32613.10/32842.30/33306.80/33990.80/34360/34430/34658.70.
(Bold and
underlined figures are most important)
After decent recovery on 22.4.2021 it ended the day today with a meager loss of 60.29 points. Its overall technical setup is tremendously weak but very short term technical parameters and some technical indicators are pointing that it may give some rise from here,which may please be noted. Its critical and most important points for the year 2021 are placed at- 32613.10---32465.45---31297.30 & 31264.05 and it is way below its first two points but above its last two points, even if it holds last two points then chances are that it could stage a moderate short term recovery, furthermore it is way below all its other key points which are placed at-36063.50---35815.75---35648---33625---32612.92(figures can change) which is hugely negative sign. Please note that it slipped into long term correction mode on 9-4-2021 and it could only come out of it if it moves above 32613.10 and sustain on the closing basis else it will drift downward in coming days and down move could be very painful price-wise and time wise both and most importantly it can potentially threaten the long term uptrend, which may please be noted.
It is into long term correction mode
for last few days. I once again reiterate here that its overall technical setup
is extremely weak, but short term technical parameters and some technical
indicators are showing some sign of improvement , so a rise form here cannot be
ruled out before it resume the down move again, provided it holds its two tier
critical support range of 31300---31260---31112---31000 and then 30915---30540
, please note that sustained break below the above mentioned range on the
closing basis could trigger an accellerated fall. Similarly moving up its very
critical resistance range would be
between 32130---32465---32613.10,
if it moves and closes above 32130 then it could give moderate to reasonable up
move and if it moves and sustain above 32613.10 on the closing basis then that would be a
positive indication for resumption of strong up momentum again and it could
extend the up move then, which may please be noted. Please note that if it
remains below the above mentioned support
range on the closing basis then it
is very likely to hit 28000---27000 levels or much below it on the
downside in coming days.
In view of the above observation, it is into long term
correction mode, but short term tercnical parameters and indicatorts are
showing some positive sign therefore long trade can be tried on decline at
appropriate points or near but not below 31112
and then within the range of 30915—30540
but not below it or buy if it moves and sustain above 32130 for some time. Please
note that long trade in long term corrective mode could be a very risky
proposition, particulary buying on decline, but since chances of some rise
seems quite bright at this point of time ,so one can try. Since it is into long
term corrective mode therefore it is suggested to try sell trade on the rise or sell on the price breakdown for taking
advantage of the down move till clarity on correction completion emerges.
NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for
it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be
attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa .
Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off
during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day
squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.
TRADING STRATEGY(Suggested)
1. Buy on decline at appropriate points or near 31112 but not below it with a stop
loss of 30980. It could be a highly risky trade.
Or
Buy on decline within the
range of 30900---30540 but not below it with
a stop loss of 30350. It could be a highly risky trade.
Or
Buy if it moves and sustain above 32130 for some time with a
stop loss of 32000. It could be a risky trade.
2. Sell on the rise near or
within the range of 32400---32550 with a stop loss of 32650. It could be a
risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain in weak market.
Or
Sell if it maintains below
31112 for some time with a stop loss of 31300. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gain in weak
market.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that make
your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it
as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support
and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss
points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and
exit trade.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.