A TECHNICAL UPDATE ON NATH BIO-GENES (I) LTD-3.7.2024

 

NATH BIO-GENES (I) LTD

SECTOR: -- It is a flagship company of Nath Group, which is a well diversified business conglomerate, for over 40 years.It has played pivotal role in shaping Indian agriculture by developing and supplying quality BT, hybrid and varietal seeds to farmers at affordable prices. 

All-Time High:-- 585 made on 10.5.2018.

All-Time Low: -- 20 made on 28.1.2014.

Recent Low:-128.85 made on 3.2.2023. 

Open-247.45--High-254--Low-243.40—Close-250.67 on 2.7.2024. 

Support:244.60/235.30/210.30/201.40/197.65/182.20/180/165. 

Resistance:261.90/288.50/297.80/328/331/367/381.50/390.10/402/416/438/458.90/473.95/485/491.95/528.70/534/565.50/585. 

(Bold and underlined figures are most important) 

Further to my last write-up of 11.10.2023 on this, please note that now it seems ripe to give a strong up move as it has given breakout from its important top of 244.60 on 1.7.2024, if it sustains the breakout on the closing basis then the broad upside target could be 261---302---322---342---356---384---392---405---410---461---477---494---585(for detailed target points see resistance points mentioned above). It is important to mention here that if it has the strength it should not break 244.60 on the closing basis, but please note that as long as it holds the range of 244.60---235.30 chances of the up move will be alive but sustained break below 235.30 can drag it down to 210.30 or lower levels which may please be noted.  

In view of the above observation, it is suggested that investors can accumulate the stock now and on the decline but not below the range of 244.60---235.30 with a stop loss of 228. The stock has the potential to appreciate by 40—60% or more in 8-12 months from here. 

NOTE: - It is a technical assessment of the stock as of now, the technical interpretation changes with the price movement and time, therefore it has to be reviewed at regular intervals, furthermore  investors are advised to look into fundamental, financial details of the company because that too keeps on changing and last but not the least management perception for the future of the company before taking investment decision.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view. 

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

A TECHNICAL VIEW ON NATH BIO-GENES (I) LTD-11.10.2023

 

NATH BIO-GENES (I) LTD

SECTOR: -- It is a flagship company of Nath Group, which is a well diversified business conglomerate, for over 40 years.It has played pivotal role in shaping Indian agriculture by developing and supplying quality BT, hybrid and varietal seeds to farmers at affordable prices.

FINANCIAL DATA 

                            F.Y-2022-23          MAR-2023 Qtr          JUNE-2023 Qtr

Sales:-                   301.36cr                  44.99cr                   235.28cr                      

Net Profit:-            35.03cr                    1.45cr                     33.40cr

E.P.S:-                     18.50                       0.84                        17.58   

Cash-E.P.S:-           20.02                       1.28                        17.98

O.P.M:-                   16.36%                   9.31%                      15.79%

N.P.M:-                   11.62%                    3.23%                     14.20%

Equity: - 19 cr,Face Value:-10,Book Value:-301.70, Price/Book:-0.71,Dividend Yield:-0.93,Share Holding Pattern:- Promoters—45.60%  & Public---54.40%, Market Cap:-409cr.

TTM (E.P.S):-19.90(+146.41%), TTM (PE):-10.83, Sector (PE):--33.91

Data Source: - www.bseindia.com & www.moneycontol.com. 

All-Time High:-- 585 made on 10.5.2018.

All-Time Low: -- 20 made on 28.1.2014.

Recent Low:-128.85 made on 3.2.2023.

Open-200.60--High-223.35--Low-200.60—Close-215.60 on 10.10.2023. 

Support:210.30/209.95/208.55/205.90/200.10/197.65/182.20/180/159. 

Resistance:223.70/227/230.95/244.60/261.90/288.50/297.80/328/331/367/381.50/390.10/402/416/438/458.90/473.95/485/491.95/528.70/534/565.50/585. 

(Bold and underlined figures are most important) 

It has started to improve technically in almost all the parameters on the daily chart but will take time to get into strong up momentum, it is in short correction now, however at the current price the risk element in the stock is pretty less and if it has the strength it should not break the range of 210.30---208.55---197.65 on the closing basis and the worst price for the stock seems to be in the range 182---176 as of now. Please note that till it holds 210.30 on the closing basis chances of up move will be alive, sustained close above 218 will take it out from the correction mode, sustained break above 235.35 will further ensure the continuation of the up move and it may catch up strong up momentum once it closes above 280 & 288.50 and sustain. 

The broad upside target or resistance point could be 218--235.35---261---280---288.50---302---342---356---393---410---473.95---477---494---585. Similarly the strong support points are at 210.30---208.55—200—197.65--182.20—176, break below 210.30 & 208.55 will be an alert sign, break below 197.65 will indicate weakness and finally break below the range of 182—176 may accelerate the fall.  

In view of the above observation, it is suggested that investors can accumulate the stock now and on the decline at appropriate support points. The short stop loss for the trade will be below 200 and for the long term investors the authentic stop loss would be below 182. The stock has the potential to appreciate by 40—60% or more in 8-12 months. 

NOTE: - It is a technical assessment of the stock as of now, the technical interpretation changes with the price movement and time, therefore it has to be reviewed at regular intervals, furthermore  investors are advised to look into fundamental, financial details of the company because that too keeps on changing and last but not the least management perception for the future of the company before taking investment decision.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view. 

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable  trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade. 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.