AN ELABORATE TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-NIFTYFOR-19.11.2025

 

CNX-NIFTY

Open—26021.80—High—26029.85---Low---25876.50--Close---25910.05 on 18.11.2025

Support:25871.35/25722.10/25718.20//25696.85/25669.35/25448.35/25371/25333.65/25318.45/25285.55/24255.30/25246.25/25234.05/25222.40/25153.65/25136.20/25116.25/25079.80/25001.95/24918.65/24882.30/24857.75/24854.80/24792.30/24753.15/24733.40/24694.35/24598.60/24589.15/24537.60/24502.15/24498.20/24494.45/24473/24462.40/24354.55/24337.50/24226.70/24198.75/24141.80/24099.70/24094.20/24073.90/23938.85/23935.75/23893.70/23873.35/23869.65/23847.45/23816.15/23807.30/23667.20/23664/23644.80/23637.65/23484.15/23537/23426.30/23391.65/23338.70/23263.15/23110.80/23049.95/23047.25/22976.85/22794.70/22786.90/22775.70/22768.40/22676.75/22625.30/22577.40/22546/22525.65/22502/22314.70/22303.80/22281/22165/22124.70/22104.85/21964.60/21875.25/21860.65/21821.05/21777.65/21710.20/21530.20/21448.65/21281.45/21137.20/21021.88/20976.80/20769.50/20291.50/20222.45/19991.85/19839/19333.60.

Resistance: 26104.20/26277.35/26328/26995/27095/27212/27293/27381.

OVERALL VIEW ON THE DAILY CHART: --

It opened on a positive note and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a loss of 103.40 points. It is important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points on downside are 25715.80,25365.15, 24164, 22923, 22468 & 22254) also on the downside/upside, which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility, this is not a good sign for a steady market.

The technical setup still looks good for the continuation of the up-move. But today it slipped into very short correction mode as it closed below its threshold point of 25961.63.However as long as it holds other key support points of 25892.83----25861.96---25845.61---25746.31—25725----25687.23---25371(figures may change) and if it holds these points on the closing basis then the up-move is likely to extend, but break and sustained close below the range of 25892.83----25861.96---25845.61 will push it into short correction mode for its recent rise, break and sustained close below the range of 25808---25746.31—25725----25687.23  may trigger fresh fall and will push it into deep correction mode, but please note that as long as it holds 25371 on the closing basis then it is likely to retest its all-time high of  26277.35 or may go beyond it, else it may start to drift down.

Moving up the key resistance points could be at 25961.63---26011---26030----26104.20----26277.35(some figures may change daily or at some point of time) It can correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move again or rally may halt for a while. Please note that if it moves above 25961.63 and sustain on the closing then it will get out of corrective mode and may resume the up-move. It is in the long-term uptrend as of now.

INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER PATTERN VISIBLE:- This pattern will come into play if it moves above the neckline of 26104.20 and sustain on the closing basis then the maximum upside target could be in the range of 26800-26900 but the up-move can halt or retreat earlier also. Please note that if it moves below 25718.20 and sustain on the closing basis then this pattern may fail.

TECHNICAL INDICATORS  AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT ON THE CHART;-

POSITIVE POINTS:-

1. Few important technical indicators are positive now EV, PS & ADX are in the buy mode, so it can rally up at times.

2. It is above all its long terms moving average on the daily chart and the top average is placed at 25055(figure will change daily) for the day.

3. It is above all its short-term moving averages on the daily, weekly & monthly chart.

4. It is above all its medium-term moving averages on the daily, weekly & monthly chart.

NEGATIVE POINTS:-

1. Few important indicators such as MACD,ST & VM are in the sell mode and it is in the overbought zone and RSI with negative divergence, so down move may happen at times and it can extend also.

In view of the above there is a possibility that it can swing both ways at time but with a tilt towards upside as long as it holds 25371on the closing basis. But please note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence and in the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a concern, therefore fall cannot be ruled out in the coming days. Please keep an eye on the critical resistance & support points and price action for further directional indication.

TECHNICAL INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART:-

WEEKLY CHART: - Almost all-important technical indicators are positive MACD, EV,  ADX& PS is in the buy mode but RSI is with negative divergence and  VM is in the sell mode, and it is in the overbought zone, therefore it may witness corrective down move at times and it may extend also.

MONTHLY CHART: -Few indicators are in buy mode such as PS & ADX, but key indicator such as MACD, VM & ST is in the sell mode, it is in the overbought zone and with negative divergence in RSI. Therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with strong tilt towards down-side as of now; therefore, further fall in the coming months cannot be ruled out.

IT IS BUY ON DECLINE  MARKET  NOW;-

It is buy on decline market till it holds25371, on the closing basis.  But short trade can also be tried on the reasonable or sharp rise near critical resistance points or range or on the price breakdown with strict stop losses, for intraday corrective gains.

STRENGTH:-

1. It is above its major long-term rising trend line which is placed at 25107 for the month of November-2025; it could be an important & strong support point.

2. It is above its most critical points of 23637.65 & 23644.80, please note that it must stay above these points to keep up the up momentum going in the year 2025, else it will start to drift down.

3. It is above its most critical first & second make or break bottom of 24753.15 & 23893.70 sustained close above it will keep the hope alive of resuming the up-move again.

4. It is above its major long-term rising trend drawn from the bottom of 7511 made on 24.3.2020, which is placed at 25176(figure will change and inch up every day) for the day.

5. It is above all its  short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the important average range for day is between 25832----25826----25808--25798—25745--25725 (figure will change every day), sustained close above this range can help it to extend the up-move further.

6. It is above its few correction threshold point of 25892.83----25861.96---25845.61---25746.31—25687.23 (figure may change), sustained close above it can extend the up-move.

7. It is above its most critical point of 25371 and if it sustains above, it on the closing basis then it may retest its all-time high of 26277.35 or may go beyond it also.

8. It is above its major long term downtrend line which is placed at 25354(figure will change daily) for the day, sustained close above it may extend the up-move.

9. It has higher top & bottom on the on the bar chart, but on higher top on the line chart.

10. The price action was mixed today.

WEAKNESS: -.

1. Volatility and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.

2. It slipped into very short correction mode as it closed below its threshold point of 25961.63 (figure may change) sustained close below it can drag it down further.

TRADING CALL: --

1. Long trade can be tried on decline near or within the range of 25876---25810 if it holds this range for some time then with a stop loss of 25700 or can buy if it moves above 25962 and maintain for some time then with a stop loss of 25900 for a possible intraday gain, else avoid.

2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 26030---26065with a stop loss of 26120 or can sell if it moves below 25870 and maintain for some time with a stop loss 25960.  It could be a risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

Email--- suranank@gmail.com