Wednesday, 22 October 2025

AN ELABORATE TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-BANK NIFTY FOR—23.10.2025

 

CNX BANK NIFTY

Open—58063.40---High—58155.55--Low—57887.20---Close—58007.20 on 21.10.2025.

 

Support:58000/57755/57683/57628.40/57566/57375.80/57363.70/57312.75/57276.55/57049.50/56816/56623.60/56594.25/56204.85/56161.40/56098.70/55957.75/55695/55547.35/55475.45/55149.30/54905.60/54576.60/54467.35/54442.30/54176.45/53888.30/53483.05/53357.70/52794.95/52782.75/52760.20/52577.50/52493.95/52354.85/51979.75/51749.45/51749.45/51693.50/51138.90/51133.20/51000.90/50947.70/50860.20/50841.90/50641.75/50438.30/50382.10/50369.40/50194.30/49974.75/49904.40/49836.10/49787.10/49688.80/49654.65/49459/49300/49162.65/49057.40/48972.55/48906.05/48839.10/48734.35/48636.45/48525.60/48292.25/48203.45/48161.75/48074.05/47898.35/47844.15/47702.90/47363.40/46983.75/46077.85/45828.80/45661.75/44633.85/44429/43600.25/43345.45/43230.95/42582.20/42105.40. 

Resistance:58224/58316/58479/58734/58950/59182/60142.

OVERALL, VIEW: --

It opened on a positive note and thereafter it had both side moves during the day and finally, ended the day with a small loss of 26 points. The gap it created on 20.10.2025 & 16.10.2025 is still there and if it makes an effort to fill the gap in the next 3-4 & 1-2 days respectively which is technically possible then it can come down to 57830.20 & 56922.70, but if it fails to fill the gap in the stipulated time then chances of filling the gap recede for the time being, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. Furthermore, it is also important to mention here that it still has earlier unfilled gaps (gap points are 55616.45,51361, 51244 & 50496), which is still a huge concern, although stipulated time for filling the gap is over long ago, but it will fill the gap one day for sure. So, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility and it is not a good sign for a steady market.

The technical setup is on a very strong footing , as it is above its major long term rising trend-line and above major downtrend line and most importantly above its important & key point of 57685.58---57309.30---57152.40(figure may change)and above lots of other critical points of 56477-----56316-----55835.25----55232------55149.30-----54653.90---54635.85----54467.35(some figure may change daily), so it looks good for the continuation of the up-move provided moving down it holds the key points. Please note that break & sustained close 57685.58-below will push it into short correction mode for its recent, break & sustained close below 57309.30---57152.40will push it into medium & deep correction mode for its recent rise, break & sustained close below 56477-----56316 will be an extreme alert sign for going down, break & sustained close below 55835.25may  weaken it further, break & sustained close below 55232 & 55149.30 may trigger fresh fall and will also threaten the long term uptrend again, break & sustained close below 54653.90---54635.85 will be a strong alert sign for going down further and finally break & sustained close be 54467.35 may end the possibility of an up-move in the year 2025. Moving down further its support point could be at 54312.12, break & sustained close below it can pull it down to 53483 levels but on the way down it may find support at 54174.06 and if it holds this point then the chances of resuming the up-move will be faintly alive. Please note that break & sustained close these points may trigger fresh fall.

Moving down further its next critical & strong support point will be at 53561.75 & 53483.05 and if it does not hold these point on the closing basis then it may witness an accelerated fall and then the final support could be at 53246 (range will change daily), but break & sustained close below it will trigger fresh fall and long term uptrend would also be in potential danger and then it may head for sharp fall may be with-in-between short relief rallies.

Moving up the broad resistance points could be at 58224—58316---58479---58734 (some figures may change) (for complete resistance points see the table on the upside) it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up-move again. It is in the strong long-term uptrend now.

NOTE: - ALTHOUGH IT IS IN THE GOOD UP-MOMENTUM NOW BUT IT SEEMS THAT THE OVERALL MARKET BREADTH IS NOT GOOD AND IT IS BEING MANAGED, THEREFORE IT IS SUGGESTED TO BE EXTREMELY ALERT AND CAUTIOUS IN THE MARKET AND REMAIN STOCK SPECIFIC BECAUSE IT CAN CORRECT SHARPLY OR CRASH LIKE SITUATION MAY DEVELOP IN COMING TIMES.

TECHNICAL INDICATORS AND MOVING AVERAGE PLACEMENT;-

POSITIVE POINTS:-

1. All the important technical indicator like MACD, EV, ADX & PS are in the buy mode, so it may extend the up-move.

2. It is above all its short-term moving average on the daily, weekly & monthly chart.

3. It is above all its medium-term moving average on the daily, weekly & monthly chart.

4. It is above all its long terms moving average on the daily chart and the top average is placed at 55232(figure will change daily) for the day.

NEGATIVE POINTS:-

1. It is in the overbought zone in certain technical indicators and VM & ST is in the sell mode, so it may correct at time in coming days.

In view of the above now there is a possibility that the up-move can extend till it sustains above its important & key point of 57685.58---57309.30---57152.40 on the closing basis. But please also note that earlier vertical rise, unfilled gaps, negative divergence and in the overbought zone on weekly & monthly chart is still a concern, therefore further fall cannot be ruled out in coming days. Please keep an eye on the critical resistance & support points and price action for further directional indication.

TECHNICAL INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART: -

WEEKLY CHART: - Almost all the important indicators have turned positive MACD, EV, PS, ST & ADX are in the buy mode, so the up-move   but RSI is showing negative divergence, therefore further fall looks quite likely in coming weeks .But the silver lining is that it is in the neutral/oversold zone and ST & ADX is in buy mode, so it may have short up-moves at times.

MONTHLY CHART:-Few indicators are in the sell mode such as MACD & ST and it is in the overbought zone and with huge negative divergence in RSI, but PS & ADX is in the buy mode, therefore, all together indicators are painting a mixed picture now with tilt towards down-side as of now.

IT IS BUY ON DECLINE  MARKET  NOW;-

It is out of all corrective mode and above its key point of 57685.58---57309.30---57152.40, therefore as long as it holds these points on the closing basis it will be buy on decline market.  But short trade can also be tried on the reasonable or sharp rise near critical resistance points or range or on the price breakdown with strict stop losses, for intraday corrective gains.

STRENGTH: -

1. It is above its most crucial 1st & 2nd bottom of 54226.60 & 53561.75, if it sustains above, it on the closing basis then the chances of the up-move will be alive.

2. It is above its long-term pullback threshold point of 54521.48 (figure may change), if it sustains above, it on the closing basis then there will be hope that the up-move can extend.

3. It is above its most critical point of 54467.35, please note that it is essential to stay above this point to keep the up-momentum going in the year-2025, else it may drift down.

4. It is above its recent correction threshold point of 57685.58---57309.30---57152.40 (figure may change), sustained close above may help it to extend the up-move.

5. It is above all its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the important average range for day is between 57346---57107--56991---56671---56460---56114(figure will change every day), sustained close above this range can extend the up-move.

6. It has higher top & bottom on the line chart.

7. It is above its first major long-term rising trend line which is placed at 56300 for the month of October-2025, it is a very weak sign.

8. It is above its first major long-term rising trend line which is placed at 56477 for the day, it is a good sign for the continuation of the up-move.

9. It is above its major long term down- trend line which is placed at 56316 for the day; it is a good sign for the continuation of the up-move.

10. The price action was mixed today.

11. It is completely out of corrective modes for earlier rise.

WEAKNESS: -

1. Volatility and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.

TRADING CALL: -- 

1.

 

 
Long trade can be tried on decline near or within the range of 57940---57890 it holds this range for some time then, with a stop loss of 57750 or can buy if it moves above 58034 and maintain for some time then with a stop loss of 57900 for a possible intraday gain, else avoid.

2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 58225---58275 with a stop loss of 58400 or can sell if it moves below 57870  and maintain for some time then with a stop loss of 58050.  It could be a risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa. Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Email—suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.  

 

                        

 

No comments:

Post a Comment

Thank you for sharing your views.