Commodities

Wednesday, 2 April 2025

A TECHNICAL UPDATE ON S & P-500 –2.4.2025

 

 S & P-500

Open—55597.53--High—5650.57—Low—5558.52—Close—5633.08 on 1.4.2025.

Support:5603.10/5504.65/5497.09/5447.80/5402.62/5390.95/5340.65/5327.44/5264.85/5191.68/5146.06/5119.26/5104.35/5091.14/5057.29/5011.53/499058/4953.51.

Resistance:5651.02/5669.65/5674/5696.51/5762.41/5765.40/5774.56/5786.95/5832.30/5853.01/5876.84/5903.26/5924.10/5962.92/5986.09/6003.79/6019.96/6029.89/6049.75/6090.27/6099.97/6101.28/6128.04/6147.43.

Technically it is on a very weak footing now and into correction mode and most importantly long term uptrend is also severely threatened as it is below all its long term moving averages on the daily chart as of now, therefore further fall looks inevitable in coming times with in between short relief rally at times. However if it manages to hold the points or range of 5611.85----5597.53 in the month of April-2025 then it may extend the pullback rally, but it may get some strength for the rally to move up further once it closes above 5644.18(figure may change) and sustain on the closing basis then the broad upside target could be at 5697---5740---5775-----5787---5818---5896----5904----5925, if it moves above 5697 & 5775 and sustain on the closing basis then it will further strengthen for continuation of the up move and  finally if it moves above 5925 and sustain on the closing basis then it may get back on a up-momentum track again. The chances of it happening look slim at this point of time because the overall bias is hugely negative as of now.

Similarly if it remains below 5696.51 on the closing basis then it is likely to slip down further and if it break and sustain below the range of 5611.85----5597.53  and sustain on the closing basis then it may trigger fresh fall and can drag it down to 5488 levels, it could be a reasonable  bounce back point, but break & sustained close below it  may witness an accelerated fall and can drag it down to the range of 5402----5362----5324, and this could be a strong bounce back range .but if it break & sustained below 5324 on the closing basis for a longer time period then it could drag it down to 5119 or lower. The short & medium term bias is negative and long term uptrend is severely threatened as of now.

Furthermore, it is important to mention here that as of now almost all the important technical indicators are weak on the daily, weekly & monthly chart. Therefore in totality further fall looks inevitable in coming times, provided it do not stage a sharp recovery and move above the critical points.

NOTE: - It is a technical assessment of the indices as of now, the technical interpretation changes with the price movement and time; therefore it needs periodic review, which may please be noted.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.

Note: Price stated here are of spot market.

                          Contact me for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

 Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

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