CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open—54610.30---High—55577.40---Low—54582.36---Close—55432.80 on 28.4.2025.
Resistance: 55444/55646/55740/55827/56159/56307/56721/56767.
OVERALL,
VIEW: --
It opened on a negative note and thereafter had both side moves during the day and finally ended the day with a gain of 768.75 points. It is important to mention here that it has other recent unfilled gaps (gap points are 51361, 51244 & 50496) also on the downside, which is still a huge concern, so, be cautious. Please note that it is often exhibiting volatility, which is not a good sign for a steady market.
The overall technical setup is still strong for the continuation of the up-move, after three days of fall it had a strong up-move today. But in view of the recent sharp rise it seems that price-wise correction is still not complete ,therefore chances are that it could give a down move again in coming times, because of the vertical rise, previous unfilled gaps, negative divergence and the deep overbought zone is still a concern, therefore be extremely alert and vigilant in the long trade. However as long as it holds 54467.35(it breached this level intraday today) and then the level of 54460.45(it breached this level intraday today) & 54117.22 on the closing basis chances of up move will be alive, the above points are strong bounce back points and it did bounce from these points today. But break & sustained close below 54467.35 will be a warning sign and break & sustained close below 54460.450 & 54117.22 will push it into short & deep correction mode for its recent rise and can drag it down lower and then moving down the broad support points could be at 53888----53739----53358-----53447---52891---52760----52628---52577-----51900---51808, it may bounce back from any of these points, but break & sustained close below each point will weaken it. The trend is bullish as of now, but I once again reiterate that in view of the vertical rise, unfilled gaps and deep overbought zone it may witness an accelerated down move in coming times. So be extremely cautious and alert in the long trade.
Moving up the resistance points could be at 55648-----55740---55827---56099----56159—56307—56721—56767, it could correct at any of these
points and then may resume the up-move again or may pause the rally for a
while.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS
PLACEMENT ON THE DAILY CHART;-
It is making higher top & bottom on the line and bar chart;
it is above all its short, medium and long term moving average on the daily,
weekly & monthly chart, which is positive sign for moving up further.
Furthermore almost all the important technical indicators are positive and in
the buy mode now, but it is in the deep overbought zone. So, in totality it is looking very strong for extending the
up-move further, but vertical rise, unfilled gaps and overbought zone is still a
concern, so it may correct any time soon , therefore it is suggested to be
extremely alert and cautious in your trade commitments. Please keep an eye on
the critical resistance & support points and price action for further directional
indication.
TECHNICAL
INDICATORS PLACEMENT ON THE WEEKLY & MONTHLY CHART: -
On the weekly chart almost all the important indicators are positive and in the buy mode, but with negative divergence and in the overbought zone is a concern, so it can correct at times and the correction is on. On the monthly chart it is in overbought/ neutral zone and with huge negative divergence in RSI and with MACD in the sell mode. Therefore, all together indicators on the weekly chart seems positive for the up-move , but on the monthly chart it is not yet out of woods therefore further fall may be on the horizon in coming weeks or months.
IT IS BUY ON DECLINE MARKET AS OF NOW;-
It is buying on decline market now till it holds 54467.35 and then 54460.450 & 54117.22 on the closing basis, but short trade can also be tried after a reasonable rise and near critical resistance points with strict stop loss, for intraday corrective gains.
STRENGTH: -
1. Almost all
the important technical indicators are positive now and in the buy mode.
2. It is way
above its most crucial bottoms of 50369.40 & 49654.65, if it sustains above it on the closing basis then
the chances of the up-move will be very good.
3. It is
making higher top & bottom on the line & bar chart.
4. It is above
its most critical points of 50860.20 & 50841.90; please note that it
must stay above these points to keep up the up momentum going in the year 2025,
else it will drift down.
5. It is
above all its short-term moving averages now on the daily chart and the important
average range for day is between 54876--54245--54240---53511---53026----52632(figure will change every day), sustained close above this range may help it to extend the up-move.
6. It is above
all its long-term moving averages and the top average is placed at 51415 (figure
will change every day). Close below this point will be a warning signal.
7. It is well
above its short & deep correction threshold points of 54460.450 & 54117.22 (figure may change) for its recent rise.
8. The price action was positive today.
WEAKNESS: -
1. Volatility
and wild swing can be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign
for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically
in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
2. It is in
the overbought zone on the daily chart, so, it can correct at times.
TRADING CALL: --
1. Long trade for safe trader can be tried
on decline near or within the range of 54467.35---54400
but not below it with a stop
loss of 54100 or can buy if it moves
above 55648 and maintain for some
time with a stop loss of 55325 for a possible intraday gain, else avoid.
2. Short
trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 56000—56100 with
a stop loss of 56250 .It could be a risky trade but can be tried for
intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long
position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the
selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of
trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit
margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any
case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and
then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Email—suranank@gmail.com
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
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