2 2 2
CNX-BANK NIFTY
Open—47486.60--High—49362.90--Low—46446.80---Close—49054.60
on 5.6.2024.
Support:48636.45/48381.95/48313.60/48292.25/48203.45/47435.25/47340.35/46983.25/46579.05/45828.80/45661.75/44633.55/44429.
Resistance:49057.40/49688.85/49974.75/50153.81/50467.77/50889.65/51133.20/51470/51823/51969/52218/52966.
It opened on a positive note and thereafter had wild
swings both ways during the day and finally ended the day with a handsome gain
of 2126
points. After yesterdays massive fall it staged a smart recovery today and
closed above its most critical range of 48203.45--48292.25
&48636.45 which is must to keep the up momentum going in the year 2024 this
is a good sign. But please note that today’s sharp recovery was a reflex action
of yesterdays sharp fall, furthermore today’s up move lacked volumes, therefore
it has to be seen over next 1-2 trading sessions that whether it will
sustain this up move or not. However as long as it holds its most critical
range of 48636.45---48292.25 &48203.45 the up move can extend, else it may head down again.
STRENGTH:-
1. It is
still in the long term uptrend; break below 47330 will threaten the long
term uptrend.
2. It is above
its most critical points of 48203.45---48292.25 & 48636.45, please note that it must stay above all these
points to keep up the strong up momentum going in the year 2024.
3. It is
well above its pullback threshold point of 47271(figure may change), and
if it sustains above it then the possible broad upside target points could be
at 49202----49551---49940---50122.13----50153.81---50467.77. Please
note that if it moves above 50122.13 and sustain on the closing basis
then it could retest its all-time high of 51133.20 or may go beyond it.
4. It has
bounced back above all its short & medium term moving averages on the daily and weekly chart,
and the important range is between 48929----48897---48759---48658---48636.45---48589---48381---48293---48203(figure
will change every day), sustained break below this range can trigger down
move again.
5. Two out
of five important technical indicators are positive on the daily chart.
WEAKNESS:-
1. It is into
deep correction mode for its earlier and its recent rise and it will get
out of all corrective mode once it moves above 49551---50153.81
&50467.77 and sustain on the closing
basis.
2. It has
broken all tops & bottoms on the line chart and bar chart at one go on 4.6.2024.
3. Some
important technical indicators are weak on the daily/weekly and monthly charts
and pointing that it could head down to lower levels in coming days/weeks and
months.
4. Volatility
can be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady
market condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming
days/weeks and months. So be watchful.
5. The price
action has been mixed for the last few days and today it was weak.
OVERALL VIEW: -- It had a
sharp bounce back today but it looks little dicey, therefore it has to be seen
in the next 1-2 trading sessions
that whether it will sustain or not, however as long as it holds the
range of 48636.45---48292.25
&48203.45 chances of
continuation of the up move will be alive, else it may drift down. Since it is
in deep corrective mode therefore it is sell on the rise market now in general,
but long trade can also be attempted at crucial and critical support point with
strict stop loss for pullback gains.
TRADING CALL: --
1. Long trade can be tried on decline near
or within the range of 48636.45---48330 with a stop loss of 48100 for
pullback gains, else avoid.
2. Short
trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 50600---50800 with
a stop loss of 50950. It could be a risky trade but can be tried for
intraday corrective gains.
NOTE: - If it opens up
with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long
position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the
selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of
trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit
margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any
case.
Disclaimer:-The view
expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any
way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.
Kindly note that
make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and
then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid
losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing
stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS.
Note: Price stated
here are of spot market.
Thanks
Narendra Kumar Surana
Email—suranank@gmail.com
Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.
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