A TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-BANK NIFTY—25.6.2024

 

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CNX-BANK NIFTY

Open—51280.25--High—51783.95--Low—51138.90---Close—51703.95 on 24.6.2024.

Support:51470/51133.20/50889.65/50467.77/50153.81/50122.13/49974.75/49688.85/49202/49057.40/48636.45/48381.95/48313.60/48292.25/48203.45/47435.25/47340.35/46983.25/46579.05/45828.80/45661.75/44633.55/44429.                           

Resistance: 51823/51969/52218/52508/52966/53064/54257.

OVERALL VIEW: --

It opened on a huge negative note but did not move much lower after that and thereafter steadily moved up and finally ended the day with a gain of 42.50 points. It is exhibiting good strength but the volatility could be a dampener in coming days, which please keep in mind. It is out of all corrective mode, therefore the up move is likely to continue provided it holds its first key range of 51384.33---51133.20 & 51097.77(figures may change) on the closing basis, break below 51384.33 will push it into very short correction mode for its recent rise, break below  51133.20 & 51097.77 will be a warning sign. However even if it breaks the above mentioned points, but as long as it holds the range of 51035----50783---50621----50570---50334---50180.39---50083----49843(figures may change) the chance of the up move will be alive but break below this range could be a deep warning sign for the down move to start and finally sustained break below the range of 48636.45---48292.25 &48203.45 will trigger fresh fall and that could be moderate to sharp in the intensity. It is important to mention here that despite the recent rise one important technical indicators on the daily, weekly and monthly chart is still negative, which indicates that it may fall in coming days/weeks, but as long as price action remains good there is no major threat for it to move down but price action was weak today, so be watchful, furthermore in light of some weak indicators and volatility, it is suggested to trade the market with extreme caution and alert. Since it is out of all corrective modes it is buy on decline market now, but short trade can also be attempted on the rise at appropriate points for intraday gains.

NOTE: - LONG TRADE CAN BE TRIED ON DECLINE NEAR OR WITHIN THE RANGE OF 51250----51135 BUT NOT BELOW IT, ELSE AVOID. SAFE TRADERS SHOULD AVOID LONG TRADE BELOW 51661 FOR THE DAY.

 STRENGTH:-

1. It is in the long term uptrend; but break below 47816(figure will change every day) will threaten the long term uptrend.

2. It is well above its most critical points of 48203.45---48292.25 & 48636.45, please note that it must stay above all these points to keep up the strong up momentum going in the year 2024.

3. It is in the new zone.

4. It is above all its short, medium and long term moving averages on the daily and weekly chart, and the important range for now is between 51035---50788---50621---50334---50083---49843(figure will change every day), sustained break below this range can trigger down move again.

5. Five out of six important technical indicators are positive on the daily chart.

6. It is making higher top & bottom on the line & bar chart.

8. It is out of all corrective modes now. The important correction threshold points are 51384.33----51097.77---50783---50570----50180.39(figures may change). Please note that break below any of these points could be concerning.

WEAKNESS:-

1. One important technical indicator is weak on the daily/weekly and monthly chart and pointing that it could head down to lower levels in coming days/weeks and months.

2. Volatility can be seen in the market quite often, which is not a good sign for a steady market condition and it can eventually drag it down may be drastically in the coming days/weeks and months. So be watchful. .

3. The price action was weak today.

TRADING CALL: --                                                                    

1. For aggressive traders long trade can be tried on sharp decline near or within the range of 51250---51135 with a stop loss of 51000, safe traders can try long trade if it moves above 51785 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 51640, else avoid.

2. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 52250---52350 with a stop loss of 52500 or can sell below 51640 with a stop loss of 51820. It could be a risky trade but can be tried for intraday corrective gains.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Email—suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.