A TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-NIFTY-23.4.2024.

 

CNX-NIFTY

Open-22336.90-High—22375.65—Low—22198.15--Close-22336.40 on 22.4.2024.

Support: 22297.50/22234.35/ 22180.70/22126.80/22124.15/21905.65/ 21883.30/21875.25/21860.65/21834.35/21801.45/21763.95/21750.25/ 21731.40/21727.75/21710.20/ 21593/21530.20/21500.35/ 21448.65/21285.55/21137.20/20976.80/20769.50/20507.75/20291.53/20222.45/19991.85/19875.25/19849.75/19635.30/19333.60/19329.10/19223.65/18973.30/18887.60/18837.85.

Resistance: 22440.90/22452.55/22516/22525.65/22526.60/ 22529.95/ 22623/22730/ 22787/22800/22838/22870/22935/23072/23117/23139/23344.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It opened with an up gap and thereafter had both side moves and finally ended the day with a gain of 189.40 points. It continued the up move for the 2^nd day in a row is a good sign.  It is above its pullback threshold point of 22013.19, which is positive sign and if it sustains above it on the closing basis then the up move can extend, else it may start to move down again. Please note that the gap it created today(22.4.2024) and on 15.4.2024 is still there and if it makes an effort to fill the gap of 15.4.2024 & 22.4.2024 in the next 1 and 4-5 trading sessions respectively, which is technically possible then it can move up to 22503.75 and can go down to 22179.55 , but if it fails to fill the gap within the stipulated time then the chance of filling the gap will recede for the time being, but eventually it will fill the gap someday, which please keep in mind. The volatility is continuing which is not a good sign for a steady market and eventually it can drag it down in coming days/weeks & months. It is important to mention here that the gap filling threat for earlier gap on the daily & weekly chart has faded out but please note that eventually it will fill the gap someday(weekly gap of 20291.55 is yet to be filled), which please note.

Moving up from here the important resistance points could be at 22389---22395----22400----22524.24----22526.60----22540.16-----22576.09-------22619----22664.33-----22775.70----22787----22800---22838----22870----22935,(figure may change) and for in between and other resistance points please refer the resistance table at the top. Please note that it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up move again or may exhaust the up rally for a while. Please note that sustained close above 22400 will provide it good strength for the continuation of the up move, sustained close above 22526.60 may put it back on the up momentum track and finally sustained close above 22576.09 may somewhat ensure that it could retest its all-time high of 22775.70 or may go beyond it also.

Similarly moving down from here the broad important support points could be at 22313-----22303----22277---22158.91-----22126.80---22013.19----21962---21923----21913----21883.30-----21860---21846.37----21801.45----21731.40----21727.75-----21710.20----21530.20---21448.65-----22285.55----21137.20(figures may change), and for in between and other support points please refer the support table at the top. Please note that it may bounce back from any of these points. It is already into deep correction mode, sustained break below 22313---22303 may weaken it, break below 22126.80 will be an alert sign but if it manages to hold 22013.19(pullback threshold point) on the closing basis then the chances of up move will be alive, it has a very strong support in the range of 21962---21913 therefore it is expected to bounce back from this range but sustained break below the range will open up the possibility to drag it down to 21710.20 levels or much below, break below the range of 21801.45—21786.47---21731.40----21727.75---21710.20 may jeopardize the up momentum for the year 2024. Please note that the most crucial , key and last important support point is 21710.20 and sustained break below it may accelerate the fall and then the correction could be  deep & painful time and value-wise both.

It is important to mention here that all the five important technical indicators have turned negative today on the daily chart, which is weak sign and indicates further down move may be ahead. Furthermore three important indicators on the weekly and one indicator on the monthly chart is also negative pointing that it could head down in coming weeks/months. But the other parameters such as moving average placement and price action have improved in the last two days and if it continues to improve then the up move may continue. But indicators weakness on the daily, weekly & monthly chart is concerning. It is in the long-term uptrend; but into short correction mode, but pullback mode is on therefore both side trades can be tried depending on price action but one has to be alert and careful in the long trade at this point of time.  

IMPORTANT NOTE: -- THE ON-GOING UP MOVE MAY EXHAUST AT ANY OF THESE POINTS 22395----22526.60----22540.16----22576.09 BUT IF IT MOVES ABOVE 22576.09 AND SUSTAIN ON THE CLOSING BASIS THEN IT CAN RETEST ITS ALL-TIME HIGH OF 22775.70 OR MAY GO BEYOND IT ALSO. SIMILARLY AS LONG AS IT HOLDS 22013.19 ON THE CLOSING BASIS THE CHANCES OF UP MOVE WILL BE ALIVE AND BREAK BELOW IT CAN DRAG IT DOWN.

TRADING TIPS: --

1. Long trade can be tried on decline near or within the range of 22200---22180 and not below it with a stop loss of 22110 or can buy if it maintains above 22337 for some time with a stop loss of 22275.Please note that long trade in a corrective mode could be a risky affair but can be tried near the important support points for pullback gains but with strict stop loss.

2. It is in the long term uptrend therefore short trade in general could be a highly risky affair; but it has slipped into deep short correction mode today, therefore short trade can also be attempted on the reasonable rise or on price breakdown for intraday corrective gains but with extreme caution and alert. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 22475--- 22525 with a stop loss of 22590. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday corrective gains.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

Email--- suranank@gmail.com