Commodities

Monday, 11 September 2023

A TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-BANK NIFTY—12.9.2023

 

CNX-BANK NIFTY

Open---45340.80---High—45636.20---Low---45231.30---Close—45570.70 on 11.9.2023.

Support: 45238.80/45118.05/44949.60/44795/44547.80/44539/44498.60/44459.25/44279.40/44254/44207.25/44151.80/ 43950/43862/43706.15/43600.35/43519.55/43446/43345.95/43078.90/43038.25/42986.45/42582.20/41962

Resistance: 45655.50/45782.75/46310.10/46369.50//46761/47123/47427/48081.  

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It continued the up move for the 3rd day in a row and ended the day near the high of the day with a good gain of 414.30 points. It is still into corrective mode for earlier gains and if it closes below 45298.97 & 45155.75(figure may change) then it will slip into short correction mode for its recent rise, which please note. The short term technical setup is looking good, furthermore all the important technical indicators are positive on the daily chart now and strongly pointing that the up move can extend further from here with intermittent correction, but on the weekly chart few indicators are giving  weak signal and indicate that the up move may extend for few days but may not last longer and eventually head down therefore it is suggested that irrespective of indicators weak signal on the weekly chart please give prime importance to price action because if price action weakens then only the indicators weakness will come into play and if price action remains strong then the weekly indicators can turn positive also in coming weeks, which please note and the price action is very strong as of now. The long term trend is up.

Moving up from here it may face resistance at 45655.50----45716---45793---45816---46310.10---46369.50(figure may change) Please note that it may correct at any of these points and may resume the up move again. It will face very stiff resistance at 45716 & 45816 it could correct at these points, but if it moves above 45816 and sustains on the closing basis then it could retest its all-time high of 46369.50 or may go beyond it also and scale new highs.

Kindly note that moving down from here the support points could be 45383.35----45340.80 & 45118, break below these points will be a weak sign but as long as it holds the range of 44900---44750(range will change every day) on the closing basis up move is likely to continue, break below 44400 could be concerning and finally break below 44254 &44151.80(figure may change) on the closing basis may end the possibility of continuation of the up move and it may slide down and then the next strong support range would be between 43786----43600----43446---43345.

TRADING TIPS:--

1. Long trade can be tried if it moves above 45675 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 45500 or on decline near 45380---45340 with a stop loss of 45200 or on sharp decline near or within the range of 44900----44750 with a stop loss of 44420. Please note that long trade could be a risky bet in correction mode but strong pullback move is on so it can be tried at critical support points for the pullback gains with extreme alert and caution.

2. It is into the long term uptrend therefore short trade in general could be a risky affair but as it is still into correction mode but pullback move is also on , therefore short trade can be attempted but with extreme caution on the reasonable rise or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective gains. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 45950----46000 with a stop loss of 46100. It could be a risky trade but worth trying.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up  then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

m for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Email—suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

 

 

No comments:

Post a Comment

Thank you for sharing your views.