Commodities

Thursday, 6 July 2023

A TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-NIFTY—7.7.2023

 

CNX-NIFTY

 Open-19385.70--High—19512.20--Low-19373--Close-19497.30 on 6.7.2023.

Support: 19450/19303/19275/19201.70/19189/19138/ 19104/19035/18991/18887.60/18886.60/18881.45/18794.10/18864.70/18778/18696.10/18660.65/18604.45/ 18555.40/18531.60/18464.55/18458.90/18350.95/18265.25/18210.25/18202.40/18201.25/18134.75/18131.70/18114.65/18105.30/18060.40/18042.40/17959.20

Resistance: 19498/19535/19639/19663/19674/19748/20160/20210/20390.

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It has been continuously moving up for the last 8 days in a row and exhibiting extraordinary strength for the continuation of the up move. It is important to mention here that it still has unfilled gaps, so the threat of filling the gap is still there and most importantly strait rise for 8 days in a row is very concerning and makes it highly vulnerable for correction and it can set in any moment, but the momentum is so strong, therefore this rally may continue for another 1-2 days at max before correction sets in  or correction may set in right away, please note that it had vertical rise, therefore it may witness vertical fall also in coming days, so be alert and extremely cautious in the long trade at this point of time.

Moving up from here it may face resistance at 19498---19515---19535---19590---19639---19666, it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up move again. Similarly going down its support points could be at 19308—19286---19264---19203---19189---19170-----19060---18935----18887.60(figures may change), it may bounce back from any of these points and resume the up move again, but break below 19308 will push it into very short correction for its recent rise and thereafter break below each points may deepen the correction, break below 19189 will be an alert point, break below 19060 will be an warning signal and sign of weakness and finally it may lose upside steam for a while if it moves below 18935 & 18887.60  and sustain on the closing basis. 

It is in the strong long term uptrend and it is buying on decline market in general, but in light of unfilled gaps and strait rise it is suggested to avoid long trade for the day. 

TRADING TIPS:--

1. FOR SAFE TRADERS IT IS SUGGESTED TO AVOID LONG TRADE FOR THE DAY. However, aggressive traders can try long trade on sharp decline near or within the range of 19308—19250 with a stop loss of 19170 or if it moves above 19531 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 19440, but please note that it could be a highly risky trade for the day.

2. It is in the strong uptrend therefore short trade in general could be a risky affair but it can be attempted on the reasonable rise or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective gains. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 19600----19650 with a short stop loss of 19700 or sell if it fails to cross 19512.20 in first half an hour of trade with a short stop loss of 19550, both the trade could be a risky bet but worth trying at this juncture.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favorable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

m for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.

 

 

 

 

 

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