A TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-BANK NIFTY—14.7.2023

 

CNX-BANK NIFTY

Open---45009.30---High—45085.15---Low---44612.20---Close—44665.05 on 13.7.2023.

Support: 44592/44508.40/44498.60/44459.25/44360/44266/44220.10/44151.80/44095.25/43874.05/43706.15/43614.65/43598.20/43397.50/43390.30/43078.90/43044.07/43038.25/42986.45/42822.15/42740/42582.20.

Resistance:44747.35/44787.10/ -44812/44939/44958/45179/45210/45416/45525/45655.50/45658/46268/46364/47575.                  

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

It had a wild swing today and after 4 days of down move it had a weak up day and it closed with a small gain of 25.60. It is already in the corrective mode. It is still way below its key point of 44844 for the on-going week and below its monthly key points of 44958---44787.10 & 44747.35, furthermore it is also below some of its short term moving averages on the daily chart after a long time and most importantly  three out of four important technical indicators have turned negative today, therefore all together it is a very weak sign and  can drag it down further from here if it  does not stage a sharp recovery in next 1-2 trading sessions and  move above  44958 at least and sustain on the closing basis then it may be able to move ahead further. Short term bias is down as of now.

Moving  down further from here its good support points could be at 44654---44639.45---44492---44380----44151.80---43994(figures may change), these could be possible buying points also as  it may bounce back from any of these points and resume the up move again. It is already into the correction mode now, break below 44639.45 will be an alert sign and may trigger fresh fall, break below 44380 will weaken it further and finally it may lose upside steam for a while if it moves below 44151.80 & 43994 and sustain on the closing basis. 

Similarly moving up from here it may face resistance at 44747---44787---44844---44898---44930---44943---44965---45110----45151----45345---45416---45525---45590----45655.50---45658----45938---46268---46364 it may correct at any of these points and then may resume the up move again. Please note that 44821(figure may change) is its pullback threshold point and if it closes above it and sustain then chances are that it can get into pullback up move and the upside could be 44980---45109--- 45238---45398---45437 and if it closes above 45437 and sustain then it could retest it all-time high of 45655.50 or may go beyond it also, else down move may continue with in between relief rallies.

Kindly note that it is still in the long term uptrend and its buy on decline market in general, but it is in correction mode now, therefore buying can be considered on decline at appropriate strong support levels, although it is in an uptrend but how the correction will culminate is not know because correction may take an ugly turn also sometimes and chances of which is pretty bright in light of negative technical indicators, therefore watch out carefully and  structure your trade  accordingly with the help of above mentioned figures and range with strict stop losses.

TRADING TIPS:--

1. Safe traders can try long trade if it closes above 44960 else avoid. However, aggressive traders can also try long trade on sharp decline near or within the range of 44650---44380 and then near 44151.80 with a stop loss of 44250 & 43950 respectively or if it moves above 44821 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 44720, but please note that it could be a  risky trade for the day. LONG TRADE BELOW 44639 COULD BE A RISKY AFFAIR FOR DAY.

2. It is in the long term uptrend therefore short trade in general could be a risky affair but it is into corrective mode now, therefore short trade can also be attempted on the reasonable rise or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective gains. Short trade can be tried on the rise near or within the range of 45080---45120 with a stop loss of 45200 or sell if it moves below 44639 with a stop loss of 44821. It could be a risky trade but worth trying for intraday gains.

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up  then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

m for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Email—suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.