A TECHNICAL UPDATE ON CNX-BANK NIFTY —20.6.2023

 

CNX-BANK NIFTY

Open---44015.30----High----44060.35----Low---43501.40---Close---43633.75 on 19.6.2023.

Support: 43614.65/43598.20/43397.50/43390.30/43078.90/43044.07/43038.25/42986.45/42822.15/42740/42582.20.

Resistance: 43706.15/43874.05/44095.25/44151.80/44220.10/43266/44340/44459.25/44498.60/44592/45525/45658.                       

 (Bold and underlined figures are most important)

After 16.6.2023 rise, it slipped again into short and medium correction mode today. Furthermore it has moved below some of its short and medium term moving averages on the daily chart and most importantly all the four important advance technical indicators are still negative, which is very concerning and indicates that it could still witness further fall from here in coming days. Please note that all together it is exhibiting gross weakness as of now. It is important to mention here that to get out of corrective mode and to put it back on the strong up momentum track it has to move above its critical points of 44151.80---44237---44282 and sustain on the closing basis. However, if it manages to move above 43658(pullback threshold point) and sustains on the closing basis then the chances of a pullback up move will be there, else it may drift down further.   

 Moving down it has very strong support at 43390—43109----43044---43038.25---42986.45 and it may bounce back from any of these points, please note that to keep the uptrend alive it has to sustain above the range of 43044---43038.25---42986.45 on the closing basis, else it may trigger fresh fall. I once again reiterate that technical indicators are pointing towards a sharp fall in the coming days as of now, which may please be noted, so one should be alert and cautious in the long trade at this point of time.

TRADING TIPS:--

1. Safe traders should avoid long trade till correction completion sign are visible or it closes above 44151.80 at least. However, aggressive traders can try long trade on decline near or within the range of 43390---43109---43044 with a stop loss of 42950 or if it moves above 43658 and maintain for some time with a stop loss of 43500. Please note that as it is in corrective mode therefore long trade could be a risky affair, so be alert and cautious.

2. As it is into short & medium correction mode therefore short trade can also be attempted on the price rise or on the price breakdown for intraday corrective gains. One can try short trade on the rise near or within the range of 44050---44150 with a stop loss of 44240 or sell if it maintains below 43500 for some time with a stop loss of 43670..

NOTE: - If it opens up with huge gap up  then wait for it to settle down before initiating long position, but short trade can be attempted on huge gap up if it is near the selling point and vice versa . Since, it is showing volatility so any type of trade should be squared off during the day, if you don’t have reasonable profit margin in the trade. Day squaring off is strongly suggested in any case.

Disclaimer:-The view expressed here are solely of the author and he is not at all responsible in any way for the outcome of the trade you enter based on the above view.

Kindly note that make your cost your stop loss in favourable trade and then trail it as the price move up/down to gain maximum profit and avoid losses. Use support and resistance levels as entry, exit, target and trailing stop loss points. DO NOT TRADE WITHOUT STOP LOSS. 

Note: Price stated here are of spot market. 

m for strategic guidance to enter and exit trade.

Thanks 

Narendra Kumar Surana

Email—suranank@gmail.com

Mobile—8240951127/9831313654.